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Gilead maintains stock target, Outperform rating post HIV investor day

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 11/12/2024, 14:06
©  Reuters
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On Wednesday, Bernstein SocGen Group maintained its Outperform rating and $105.00 price target on shares of Gilead Sciences (NASDAQ:GILD), following the company's HIV Investor Day held at its Foster City headquarters. The stock, currently trading at $92.34, has shown remarkable strength with a 45.39% return over the past six months.

According to InvestingPro data, analyst targets range from $73 to $125, with 16 analysts recently revising their earnings estimates upward. The event was attended by approximately 50 people, where Gilead outlined its strategic priorities for HIV treatment and prevention.

The company is focusing on Lenacapavir, including pro-drugs, and Integrase inhibitors in its pipeline, while considering bNabs & NNRTI combinations as interim solutions that could reach the market more quickly.

Gilead's strategy involves offering a diverse range of treatment options to cater to varying consumer preferences, including oral, injectable, and from daily to long-acting regimens. The company, which maintains a strong financial position with an InvestingPro Financial Health Score of "GOOD," is heavily invested in the launch of Lenacapavir, aiming to expand the market beyond existing consumers and healthcare providers to untapped markets.

With a market capitalization of $115 billion and a consistent track record of raising dividends for 10 consecutive years, Gilead demonstrates both market leadership and financial stability. This strategy also includes competing with current treatment options.

The insights from the HIV Investor Day have been seen as a validation of Bernstein's above-consensus expectations for Lenacapavir's role in PrEP (pre-exposure prophylaxis), especially considering the potential for market expansion in the United States based on demographics and adherence, as well as targeted expansion outside the U.S., drawing parallels to Gilead's Hepatitis C strategy.

Moreover, the event provided more clarity on the prioritization within Gilead's HIV treatment pipeline and the anticipated paths to launching these products.

Bernstein highlighted that the discussions during the HIV Investor Day lay the groundwork for Gilead to mitigate the impact of the 2033 loss of exclusivity (LOE) for Biktarvy, one of its leading HIV treatments. This proactive approach to pipeline development and market expansion is crucial for Gilead as it prepares for future market dynamics.

The company's strong cash flow position and 3.34% dividend yield provide additional stability for investors. For a deeper understanding of Gilead's valuation and growth prospects, investors can access comprehensive analysis and 12 additional ProTips through InvestingPro's detailed research reports.

In other recent news, Gilead Sciences has seen a flurry of developments. The company's investigational HIV prevention drug, lenacapavir, demonstrated a 96% reduction in HIV infections in a pivotal Phase 3 trial, supporting global regulatory filings expected to commence by the end of 2024.

Gilead also reported promising interim results from its Phase 3 ASSURE study on Livdelzi, a treatment for primary biliary cholangitis, with 81% of patients achieving a composite biochemical response.

In terms of partnerships, Gilead and Tubulis have entered into an exclusive agreement to develop an antibody-drug conjugate for solid tumor treatment, with potential payments totaling up to $415 million. Furthermore, Gilead's partner, Arcellx, is set to present results from a study on a novel multiple myeloma CAR-T therapy, anito-cel, which could significantly contribute to Gilead's long-term revenue goals.

In analyst news, Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn) has maintained a Hold rating on Gilead with a $73 target. Leerink Partners and Oppenheimer have shown confidence in Gilead, maintaining an Outperform rating and increasing the price target to $99 and $115 respectively. These are recent developments in Gilead's ongoing commitment to HIV treatment and prevention, as well as its potential for growth and profitability.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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