Goldman Sachs raises Tencent Music price target on ARPU growth outlook

Published 18/06/2025, 09:20
Goldman Sachs raises Tencent Music price target on ARPU growth outlook

Goldman Sachs raised its price target on Tencent Music Entertainment Group (NYSE:TME) stock to $21.00 from $15.50 on Tuesday, while maintaining a Buy rating on the Chinese music streaming company. With a market capitalization of $28.8 billion and an overall "GREAT" financial health score according to InvestingPro, TME has established itself as a prominent player in the entertainment industry.

The price target increase reflects Goldman Sachs’ optimistic view on Tencent (HK:0700) Music’s average revenue per user (ARPU) growth potential, particularly from its Super VIP subscription tier. The investment bank now forecasts 10% ARPU growth for 2025 and high-single-digit year-over-year growth for 2026 and beyond.

Tencent Music shares have rallied 62.31% year-to-date and are trading near their 52-week high of $19.40, significantly outperforming the broader Hang Seng Tech Index. Goldman Sachs attributes this performance to "solid music growth visibility and pricing power" demonstrated by the company. InvestingPro data reveals the company maintains strong fundamentals with more cash than debt on its balance sheet.

The investment firm expressed continued confidence in Tencent Music’s non-subscription business prospects, especially in live events. Goldman Sachs noted the company has increased its engagement in artist partnerships and concert sponsorships as part of its growth strategy.

Goldman Sachs also addressed key investor debates surrounding Tencent Music, including questions about ARPU trends, content investment strategies, merger and acquisition approaches, and potential valuation upside for the streaming platform. Trading at a P/E ratio of 21.19, InvestingPro analysis suggests the stock is currently fairly valued, with additional insights available in the comprehensive Pro Research Report.

In other recent news, Tencent Music Entertainment Group has seen several updates from financial analysts regarding its stock price targets and strategic developments. Macquarie has increased its price target for Tencent Music to $26.20, citing the company’s transformation into a comprehensive music platform and its strategic acquisitions, including Ximalaya and SM Entertainment. This expansion is expected to enhance Tencent Music’s pricing power and diversify its revenue streams. Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) also raised its price target to $18.00, factoring in potential revenue growth from advertising and album sales, while maintaining an Overweight rating. Similarly, Bernstein SocGen Group adjusted its target to $20, emphasizing the strategic benefits of Tencent Music’s partnership with SM Entertainment in strengthening its content ecosystem.

Meanwhile, CFRA raised its price target to $18.00 but downgraded the stock from "Buy" to "Hold," reflecting a valuation that they believe now fully accounts for the company’s earnings potential. This decision follows Tencent Music’s strong performance in the first quarter of 2025, which led to an upward revision of earnings forecasts. Additionally, Tencent Music has announced its Annual General Meeting for June 27, 2025, as part of its compliance with U.S. securities laws. This meeting will provide shareholders an opportunity to engage with the company’s leadership and discuss corporate matters. These developments highlight Tencent Music’s strategic initiatives and financial outlook as it continues to expand its presence in the music industry.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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