Goldman Sachs reiterates buy rating on Nasdaq stock, citing growth outlook

Published 30/06/2025, 10:32
Goldman Sachs reiterates buy rating on Nasdaq stock, citing growth outlook

Investing.com - Goldman Sachs has reiterated its Buy rating and $85.00 price target on Nasdaq OMX Group Inc. (NASDAQ:NDAQ), currently trading at $89.08 and near its 52-week high of $89.48, following investor meetings with the company’s executives. According to InvestingPro data, the stock has delivered an impressive 49.72% return over the past year, though current valuations suggest the stock may be overvalued.

The investment bank believes Nasdaq is on track to meet its 2025 targets, with accelerating momentum expected into 2026. Goldman Sachs expressed confidence in the medium-term growth targets for Nasdaq’s Solutions business, particularly in the Financial Technology segment and Index operations. InvestingPro analysis shows the company maintains strong fundamentals with a 61% gross profit margin, though analysts anticipate a revenue decline in the current fiscal year.

Nasdaq is making early progress in its expansion strategy through AxiomSL, Verafin, and Index, while also showing strength in cross-sell activities. Goldman Sachs expects these revenues and new wins to accelerate as 2025 concludes, especially as the business environment becomes more supportive.

The company remains committed to its capital allocation priorities, focusing on organic growth and de-leveraging targets. Share repurchases are expected to become a larger part of Nasdaq’s capital return strategy when leverage falls below 3.0X, while additional acquisitions are unlikely as management sees substantial runway for organic growth.

Goldman Sachs sees potential for multiple expansion based on two factors: the shift in operating income mix toward faster-growing FinTech and Index businesses, where peers trade at mid-20s EV/EBITDA compared to Nasdaq’s approximately 19X, and an accelerating capital return story.

In other recent news, Nasdaq reported first-quarter earnings that met expectations and confirmed its revenue forecasts for most of its solutions businesses for fiscal year 2025. Following this announcement, Citi analysts raised the price target for Nasdaq OMX Group from $75 to $80, while maintaining a Neutral rating. The company also introduced Tape D, a real-time data service for private markets, in collaboration with Nasdaq Private Market, aimed at improving price transparency for private, pre-IPO companies. Additionally, Nasdaq shareholders elected all 12 nominated directors to the board, with Adena T. Friedman re-elected as Chair. Shareholders also approved several proposals, including executive compensation and the ratification of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025. Furthermore, trading for Damon Inc. on Nasdaq is set to resume after a suspension that began in late April. Lastly, Nasdaq disclosed a slight increase in short interest across its Global Market and Capital Market securities, a key metric for investors tracking market sentiment.

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