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Investing.com - BofA Securities downgraded Green Plains Renewable Energy (NASDAQ:GPRE) from Neutral to Underperform on Thursday, while raising its price target to $7.00 from $4.50. According to InvestingPro data, the company currently trades at a high EBITDA multiple of 47.3x, with analyst targets ranging from $4.50 to $12.00.
The downgrade comes despite Green Plains shares rallying approximately 170% from mid-April lows, with BofA Securities noting the new price target remains "well short of the current stock price." The stock has shown remarkable momentum, posting a 26% gain in the past week and a 38% return over the last six months, though InvestingPro analysis indicates the stock’s RSI suggests overbought conditions.
BofA Securities attributed the recent stock performance to expanded ethanol margins and positive regulatory developments for the company’s carbon capture platform.
The investment bank expressed concerns that ethanol margins will likely "reset lower in a few months" and highlighted ongoing risks associated with Green Plains’ carbon capture and storage initiatives.
BofA Securities also pointed to potential stock dilution as the company manages its debt maturities, with approximately 10% coming due this year.
In other recent news, Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc. reported disappointing financial results for the second quarter of 2025. The company posted an earnings per share (EPS) of -$1.09, significantly missing the analysts’ forecast of -$0.33. Additionally, Green Plains’ revenue fell short of expectations, coming in at $552.8 million compared to the anticipated $610.2 million, which represents a 10.7% decline from the previous year. Despite these figures, the company’s stock experienced a surge in pre-market trading. These developments reflect the current financial challenges Green Plains is facing. Investors and analysts will likely be closely monitoring the company’s future performance and any strategic moves it might make in response to these results.
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