Japan PM Ishiba to announce resignation by August end – Mainichi
JMP Securities reiterated its Market Outperform rating and $50.00 price target on Hilton Grand Vacations (NYSE:HGV) Thursday following a review of the company’s 10-Q filing. The research firm maintained its positive stance despite modestly lowering its adjusted EBITDA estimates for 2025 and 2026. According to InvestingPro data, HGV has demonstrated strong revenue growth of 17.4% over the last twelve months, though 6 analysts have recently revised their earnings expectations downward.
JMP reduced its 2025 adjusted EBITDA forecast to $1,145 million from $1,225 million and its 2026 projection to $1,171 million from $1,223 million. These adjustments reflect lower vacation package generation (VPG), changes to the rental business, and reduced financing income related to securitization changes.
The firm expressed confidence in Hilton Grand Vacations’ long-term prospects, highlighting the company’s $13 billion inventory available for sale, which represents approximately six years of supply. JMP also noted that demand has remained strong while cash flow is expanding due to changes in securitization strategies.
JMP analysts expect Hilton Grand Vacations’ current EBITDA multiple of 6.9x to contract by roughly one turn by the end of fiscal year 2026, primarily due to financial engineering. The firm’s $50 price target represents a 7.5x EV/EBITDA multiple based on 2026 estimates.
The price target multiple is set slightly below the long-term industry group average of 8x, with JMP maintaining its buyer recommendation for the stock. The firm stated it remains comfortable with its price target and positive outlook for the vacation ownership company.
In other recent news, Hilton Grand Vacations reported its first-quarter 2025 earnings, revealing an EPS of $0.09, which fell short of the forecasted $0.59. The company’s revenue for the quarter reached $1.15 billion, also missing the anticipated $1.25 billion. Despite these financial shortfalls, strategic initiatives and future growth plans positively influenced market sentiment. Mizuho (NYSE:MFG) Securities raised its price target for Hilton Grand Vacations to $70, maintaining an Outperform rating, citing the company’s effective business strategy and potential to unlock value from its balance sheet. Similarly, Goldman Sachs increased its price target to $34 while keeping a Sell rating, noting the company’s robust earnings and successful integration of recent acquisitions. The analysts highlighted the company’s resilience and growth potential, although Goldman Sachs expressed caution, seeking further data to support the sustainability of current trends. These recent developments underscore a mix of cautious optimism and strategic execution within Hilton Grand Vacations.
This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.