HSBC lowers Renault stock price target to EUR47 on profit warning

Published 17/07/2025, 09:14
HSBC lowers Renault stock price target to EUR47 on profit warning

Investing.com - HSBC lowered its price target on Renault SA (OTC:RNLSY) (EPA:RNO) to EUR47.00 from EUR59.00 while maintaining a Buy rating on the stock.

The price target reduction follows Renault (EPA:RENA)’s 2025 guidance cut, which implied an 8-9% reduction to consensus operating profit according to HSBC analyst notes. Renault shares have fallen 18% compared to a 3% decline for European automaker peers.

HSBC indicated the market reaction appears harsh but noted potential investor concerns about Renault’s resilience after the company maintained its guidance throughout most of H1 before issuing a profit warning. Light commercial vehicle (LCV) weakness has been a headwind since Q1.

After missing consensus by EUR250 million in H1, Renault’s updated guidance suggests an additional EUR70-100 million reduction to H2 expectations, indicating challenging conditions will persist.

The automaker also cut its free cash flow guidance by EUR750 million while reducing operating profit guidance by EUR325-350 million, suggesting working capital effects will not fully reverse.

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