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HSBC sees upside in Fresenius Medical Care with new U.S. treatments boosting outlook

Published 04/12/2024, 11:10
HSBC sees upside in Fresenius Medical Care with new U.S. treatments boosting outlook
FMS
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On Wednesday, HSBC upgraded Fresenius Medical Care (NYSE:FMS) AG & Co KGaA (FME:GR) (NYSE: FMS) stock from Hold to Buy, significantly increasing the price target to EUR48.00 from EUR37.00. The upgrade is based on the analyst's observation of margin improvements that surpassed expectations and potential for further enhancements in patient mix.

The introduction of a new modality, Hemodiafiltration (HDF), in the U.S. market, which is associated with lower patient mortality, is also seen as a positive factor for margin improvement.

The analyst noted that despite challenges such as patient mortality and the divestment of less profitable businesses, Fresenius Medical (TASE:PMCN) Care has the potential to further improve its margins. The firm's forward enterprise value to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EV/EBITDA) multiple stands at 6.5x, which is considered below the average of MedTech peers.

HSBC highlighted the company's free cash flow (FCF) generation, which they believe will contribute to a significant reduction in the leverage ratio, projecting it to decline to 1.9x by 2026 according to HSBC estimates. This financial position provides the company with a solid foundation for future growth and operational improvements.

The analyst's outlook for Fresenius Medical Care is positive, with expectations of continued earnings per share (EPS) growth and an appreciation in multiples. This outlook is underpinned by the company's ability to capitalize on opportunities to enhance its operational efficiency and financial metrics in comparison to its MedTech industry counterparts.

In summary, HSBC's upgrade of Fresenius Medical Care to Buy reflects a confidence in the healthcare company's capacity to increase its margins, optimize its patient mix, and leverage new treatments to improve patient outcomes, all of which are anticipated to contribute to sustained earnings growth and valuation expansion.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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