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On Friday, Jefferies analyst Sheila Kahyaoglu adjusted the price target for CAE Inc . (NYSE:CAE) to $27.00 from the previous $28.00, while continuing to recommend a Hold rating on the stock. According to InvestingPro data, CAE (TSX:CAE)’s current market capitalization stands at $8.14 billion, with the stock trading near Fair Value levels. Kahyaoglu noted that CAE’s fiscal year 2026 guidance anticipates a modest first half, with flat sales expected. This outlook is consistent with Jefferies’ analysis, suggesting that the Civil Aviation sector may experience a period of "destocking" due to early Simulator deliveries that have been linked to aircraft delays and a sluggish hiring environment in the United States.
Despite these challenges in the Civil Aviation sector, the Defense segment of CAE’s business is expected to see mid-single-digit growth, backed by a two-fold increase in business-to-business engagements. The company has demonstrated strong performance with revenue growth of 9.93% over the last twelve months, reaching $3.27 billion. Jefferies projects an overall revenue growth of 6%, which should lead to an 8% increase in Operating Income. Earnings per share (EPS) are anticipated to rise by 8% year-over-year to $1.30.
Kahyaoglu’s analysis also highlights that CAE’s shares are currently trading at a 7% discount on free cash flow yield compared to a negative 8% three-year average. InvestingPro analysis reveals the stock’s attractive PEG ratio of 0.12, suggesting potential undervaluation relative to growth prospects. This indicates potential for market multiple expansion, especially considering the company’s 150% conversion target. The assessment implies that while near-term headwinds exist, there are elements within CAE’s business that could drive improved financial performance in the future. For deeper insights into CAE’s valuation and growth prospects, including additional ProTips and comprehensive financial analysis, check out the detailed Pro Research Report available on InvestingPro.
In other recent news, CAE Inc. reported its fourth-quarter 2025 earnings, surpassing expectations with earnings per share (EPS) of $0.47 against a forecast of $0.46. The company’s revenue for the quarter was $1.3 billion, meeting projections and marking a 13% increase year-over-year. Despite these positive results, CAE’s stock saw a decline, reflecting investor concerns over future growth. The company aims for significant growth in its civil and defense segments for fiscal 2026 and plans to reduce net leverage to 2.5x by year-end. Analysts have noted CAE’s strategic focus on innovation and expansion in training capabilities as key contributors to its robust performance. The company’s backlog increased to $20.1 billion, indicating strong demand across its markets. Additionally, CAE has been recognized for its strong market position and has secured $1.3 billion in new orders during the quarter.
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