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On Thursday, Jefferies analyst Edison Lee adjusted the price target for China Mobile (941:HK) (NYSE: NYSE:CHL), reducing it to HK$100.00 from the previous target of HK$102.10, while reaffirming a Buy rating for the company’s stock. The adjustment came after China Mobile reported mixed financial results for the fourth quarter of 2024. According to InvestingPro data, the company maintains a "GREAT" financial health score of 3.17, supported by strong fundamentals and robust growth metrics.
China Mobile’s service revenue, EBITDA, and net profit for the fourth quarter showed year-over-year changes, with service revenue growing approximately 6%, EBITDA decreasing by 3%, and net profit increasing by 5%. The company’s revenue outperformed expectations, while EBITDA fell short. However, net profit aligned with projections, with dividends being based on this figure. The company has demonstrated impressive revenue growth, with InvestingPro data showing a remarkable 199.63% increase in the last twelve months.
The telecommunications giant also reported a 9% year-over-year reduction in capital expenditures for 2024, totaling Rmb164 billion, which was 5% below the company’s own guidance. Looking ahead, China Mobile anticipates a 7% decrease in capital expenditures for 2025, also 5% below Jefferies’ estimates. Notably, the company’s capital expenditures to service revenue ratio has dropped to 18%, marking a historical low point.
Despite the lowered capital expenditures, China Mobile’s dividend payout ratio remains consistent with Jefferies’ expectations at 73%. However, the dividend represents only 87% of the company’s free cash flow, suggesting potential for further upside. Lee highlighted the stock’s continued appeal, citing its 12 times estimated 2025 price-to-earnings ratio, a current dividend yield of 4.14%, and an enterprise value to EBITDA multiple of 2.8 times. The stock currently trades at an attractive P/E ratio of 4.82, with InvestingPro analysis suggesting the stock is slightly undervalued based on its Fair Value model.
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