Jefferies lowers PubMatic stock price target to $10 on weaker guidance

Published 12/08/2025, 11:34
Jefferies lowers PubMatic stock price target to $10 on weaker guidance

Investing.com - Jefferies has reduced its price target on PubMatic Inc (NASDAQ:PUBM) to $10.00 from $12.00 while maintaining a Hold rating on the advertising technology company’s stock. The stock, currently trading at $10.57, has declined over 38% in the past six months, though InvestingPro analysis suggests the company remains financially robust with more cash than debt on its balance sheet.

The price target adjustment follows PubMatic’s lower-than-expected third-quarter revenue guidance, which prompted Jefferies to revise its financial estimates for the company.

Jefferies now forecasts a 7% revenue decline for PubMatic in fiscal year 2025, contrasting with the 9% growth expected in fiscal year 2024, along with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 18% compared to 32% in the current fiscal year.

For fiscal year 2026, Jefferies has lowered its revenue estimate by 9% and adjusted EBITDA projection by 25%, anticipating continued weakness in the first half of 2026 followed by a gradual recovery in the second half as PubMatic laps a DSP change.

The new $10 price target implies a multiple of 6.5 times Jefferies’ fiscal year 2026 adjusted EBITDA estimate for PubMatic.

In other recent news, PubMatic Inc. reported its second-quarter 2025 earnings, highlighting a significant revenue increase. The company achieved $71.1 million in revenue, surpassing the forecasted $67.84 million, which represents a 4.81% surprise. Despite this positive revenue performance, PubMatic’s earnings per share (EPS) fell short, recording $0.05 against an expected -$0.16. This resulted in a -131.25% surprise in EPS. Following the earnings announcement, B. Riley downgraded PubMatic from Buy to Neutral, adjusting its price target from $17.00 to $9.00. The downgrade was attributed to issues with DSP partners, despite the company’s strong quarterly results. Additionally, PubMatic’s shares experienced a decline in after-hours trading due to disappointing third-quarter guidance. These recent developments have drawn attention from investors and analysts alike.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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