Jefferies maintains Lululemon stock underperform, $220 target

Published 27/03/2025, 22:26
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On Thursday, Jefferies analysts maintained their Underperform rating and a $220.00 price target for Lululemon Athletica Inc. (NASDAQ:LULU), which currently has a market capitalization of $41.52 billion. Despite the company reporting fourth-quarter results that exceeded consensus expectations, concerns were raised about the future performance. According to InvestingPro data, the company maintains impressive gross profit margins of 58.85% and trades at a P/E ratio of 24.56. The athletic apparel retailer saw its sales align with projections, with revenue growing 10.84% over the last twelve months, while gross margins improved by approximately 100 basis points year-over-year. Operating margin also saw an increase of around 40 basis points, reaching 28.9%, which was higher than the expected 28.0%. This resulted in earnings per share surpassing the company’s own guidance range. InvestingPro analysis reveals 8 additional key insights about LULU’s financial performance and valuation metrics, available to subscribers.

However, the analysts at Jefferies pointed out that Lululemon’s comparable business in the Americas showed no growth year-over-year in the fourth quarter. Additionally, inventory levels are on the rise, and the outlook for 2025 appears restrained. The analysts’ commentary highlighted a persistent theme that growth is slowing down, which could make further increases in sales and earnings per share difficult. The reiterated Underperform rating reflects the firm’s cautious stance on the stock’s near-term prospects. Despite these concerns, InvestingPro’s Financial Health Score rates LULU as "GREAT" with a strong current ratio of 2.0, indicating solid liquidity.

Lululemon has been navigating a challenging retail environment, where consumer spending patterns and market trends are constantly evolving. The company’s ability to maintain margins and surpass earnings expectations in the fourth quarter was a positive sign, but the flat comparable sales in the Americas and rising inventories are areas of concern for Jefferies analysts. They emphasized that these factors could pose challenges to Lululemon’s growth trajectory moving forward.

The analysts’ reiteration of the Underperform rating indicates that they believe the stock may not perform as well as the broader market or its peers in the near future. This perspective is based on their analysis of the company’s financial results and market position. The $220.00 price target set by Jefferies suggests that they see limited upside potential for Lululemon’s stock price at this time.

In summary, while Lululemon has shown some financial strength in its recent earnings report, the outlook provided by Jefferies analysts suggests that investors should temper their expectations for the company’s stock performance. The flat year-over-year comparable sales in the Americas and concerns over inventory levels are key factors that contribute to the firm’s continued cautious outlook on Lululemon. For a comprehensive analysis of LULU’s valuation and growth prospects, investors can access the detailed Pro Research Report, available exclusively on InvestingPro, which covers over 1,400 US stocks with expert insights and actionable intelligence.

In other recent news, Lululemon Athletica Inc. has been the focus of several analyst reports highlighting its financial prospects and challenges. TD Cowen maintained a Buy rating on Lululemon, with a price target of $445, emphasizing a favorable valuation and potential for share buybacks despite conservative earnings guidance for fiscal year 2025. Meanwhile, Needham adjusted its price target for Lululemon to $430 from $475, maintaining a Buy rating and expressing optimism about improving demand ahead of the company’s upcoming earnings report. Jefferies, however, retained an Underperform rating with a $220 price target, citing concerns over potential merchandise issues and a possible decline in U.S. sales despite strong performance in China.

Raymond (NSE:RYMD) James continues to hold an Outperform rating with a $430 price target, expressing confidence in Lululemon’s earnings and guidance potentially meeting or exceeding market expectations. The firm’s analysis indicated promising growth based on various data checks, including mobile app performance and store traffic. On the other hand, Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) reduced its price target to $411 while maintaining an Overweight rating, citing cautious expectations for future earnings guidance amid uncertainties in the U.S. consumer market. These developments reflect varying perspectives on Lululemon’s growth potential and market challenges.

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