Jefferies sets VTEX stock Hold rating, $7.30 price target

Published 22/05/2025, 11:26
Jefferies sets VTEX stock Hold rating, $7.30 price target

On Thursday, Jefferies initiated coverage on VTEX shares (NYSE:VTEX), a cloud-based e-commerce platform, with a Hold rating and a price target of $7.30. The firm’s analysis suggests that while VTEX possesses an interesting business model with potential avenues for growth, its current market position could lead to a deceleration in future growth and marginally lower returns. According to InvestingPro data, VTEX maintains impressive gross profit margins of 74.7% and holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, demonstrating operational efficiency despite growth concerns.

According to Jefferies, the market may be overestimating VTEX’s growth prospects and potential operational leverage. The price target set by Jefferies implies approximately 4.2 times the company’s 2025 estimated enterprise value to sales ratio (EV/Sales) and about 43.7 times its enterprise value to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EV/EBITDA). Current InvestingPro metrics show an EV/EBITDA of 62.1x, with the company’s Financial Health Score rated as "GREAT" at 3.12 out of 5.

VTEX’s business model has been recognized as intriguing due to its cloud-based solutions that cater to digital commerce needs. However, Jefferies points out that despite the company’s market dominance, this could result in slower growth ahead.

The firm also notes that VTEX’s growth has already shown signs of slowing down and that the cost of equity (CoE) is at historical highs. These factors contribute to the assessment that VTEX is currently fairly valued at its present price and multiples, leading to the Hold rating.

Jefferies concludes that the stock’s current pricing appears attractive when compared to historical values, but this is tempered by the deceleration in growth and the high cost of equity. The Hold rating indicates a neutral stance on the stock, suggesting that investors may wish to maintain their current positions without increasing or decreasing their exposure to VTEX shares.

In other recent news, VTEX reported its financial results for the fourth quarter of 2024, revealing earnings per share (EPS) of $0.01 and revenue of $61.5 million, both falling short of analyst expectations. The company faced challenges with foreign exchange volatility and a softening in Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) from existing customers, particularly in Brazil. Despite the subdued performance, VTEX highlighted a 10.4% increase in GMV for the full year to $18.2 billion and a 12.5% rise in total revenues to $226.7 million. Analysts from Keybanc noted the weaker than expected same-store sales, while Itaú BBA maintained an outperform rating but revised the target price to $8 per share.

Additionally, VTEX is transitioning to U.S. GAAP reporting from January 1, 2025, to enhance financial transparency. BofA Securities recently raised its price target for VTEX to $10, maintaining a Buy rating, citing improved forecasts for margins and growth in the U.S. and Europe. The company’s strategic partnership with Accenture (NYSE:ACN) aims to modernize U.S. enterprises’ e-commerce capabilities. Despite current headwinds, VTEX remains focused on expanding its customer base and product offerings, with plans for 13% to 15% subscription revenue growth in Q1 2025 on an FX neutral basis.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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