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On Wednesday, JMP Securities analyst Matthew Carletti confirmed a Market Outperform rating with a $65.00 price target on AMERISAFE (NASDAQ:AMSF), following the company’s release of their first quarter 2025 financial results. According to InvestingPro data, the stock has delivered an impressive 18.76% return over the past year, and analysis suggests the stock is currently slightly undervalued. AMERISAFE, a provider of workers’ compensation insurance, reported operating earnings per share (EPS) of $0.60, which aligned closely with both JMP Securities’ prediction and the consensus estimate of $0.61.
The operating EPS achieved was affected by a higher-than-anticipated expense ratio of 30%, compared to the expected 28%, and a lower net investment income (NII) of $6.7 million against an estimated $7.1 million. However, these were balanced by more favorable prior-period reserve development, which came in at 12.7 points versus the estimated 10.0 points. The accident year loss ratio remained consistent with expectations at 71%.
AMERISAFE’s revenue showed a continued upward trend with a 5% increase, matching the projections. This growth was attributed to robust voluntary premium expansion of 7.1%, reflecting a rise in policyholder count and strong retention rates. The increase in voluntary premiums was slightly tempered by a year-over-year decrease in audit premiums, which was seen as a sign of slowing wage inflation.
The company’s book value per share was reported at $13.69, which was a slight increase from the estimated $13.61 and marked a 1% rise from the value recorded on December 31. This figure also took into account adjustments for a special dividend paid by the company. The solid quarterly performance and the sustained improvement in top-line growth underpin JMP Securities’ continued positive outlook on AMERISAFE’s stock.
In other recent news, AMERISAFE Inc. reported strong financial results for the fourth quarter of 2024, surpassing expectations. The company achieved an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.67, exceeding the forecasted $0.6133, and reported revenue of $62.7 million, which was higher than the anticipated $61.22 million. This performance was attributed to growth in high-risk insurance segments and effective claims management. Additionally, AMERISAFE increased its dividend by 5.4% to $0.39 per share, reflecting confidence in its financial stability. The company also announced a net income of $13.2 million for the quarter and $55.4 million for the full year. Gross written premiums grew by 3.9% in Q4, showcasing steady growth. Analysts have noted AMERISAFE’s focus on maintaining a strong combined ratio and return on equity, indicating efficient operations and profitability. The company’s strategic approach and commitment to high-hazard insurance segments continue to drive its success.
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