JMP maintains Full House Resorts stock with $4 target

Published 27/05/2025, 10:08
JMP maintains Full House Resorts stock with $4 target

On Tuesday, JMP Securities analysts maintained their positive stance on Full House Resorts (NASDAQ:FLL), reiterating a Market Outperform rating and a $4.00 price target. The firm highlighted Full House Resorts’ efforts to navigate operational challenges at its Chamonix Casino (EPA:CASP) in Colorado, which had a slower-than-expected start. The new management team in Colorado has identified millions in cost savings in recent months, improving the cost structure significantly. With the seasonal peak approaching in summer, the company is expected to benefit from higher revenues due to its marketing efforts aimed at attracting high-net-worth individuals to the Cripple Creek area. Trading at $3.38, the stock sits above its 52-week low of $2.86 but well below its high of $5.90. According to InvestingPro analysis, the company currently appears slightly undervalued, though it faces significant financial challenges with a weak overall health score.

Analysts at JMP Securities noted that the company’s Chamonix Casino is now operating with a cost structure that should see a good portion of future revenues contributing positively to profits. Full House Resorts is also focusing on increasing its convention and group business from 3% to approximately 15%, which is anticipated to yield higher margins. The company has demonstrated revenue growth of 13.92% over the last twelve months, though InvestingPro data reveals it operates with a significant debt-to-equity ratio of 17.1.

In Illinois, optimism surrounds the Waukegan project, where management believes the temporary facility could surpass revenue expectations. This bodes well for the long-term prospects of the American Place casino. Despite a less favorable hold in May, following growth in the previous two months, the company’s CFO expressed confidence in the earnings potential over the coming years. Full House Resorts has various financing options for the permanent casino, including bond issuance and land lease, with $325 million yet to be spent from the allocated $500 million.

The coming months are crucial for Full House Resorts as they look to capitalize on the summer season and expand their business segments to enhance profitability. The management’s strategic decisions and financial planning are key elements that JMP Securities believes will support the company’s growth and help achieve their price target of $4.00.

In other recent news, Full House Resorts reported mixed financial outcomes for the first quarter of 2025. The company achieved a revenue of $75 million, which exceeded expectations and represented a 7% year-over-year increase, largely due to strong growth in Illinois. However, EBITDA was slightly below projections at $11.5 million, attributed to adverse weather and underperformance at the Chamonix property. Additionally, Citizens JMP analyst Jordan Bender adjusted the stock’s price target from $5.00 to $4.00, maintaining a Market Outperform rating.

Full House Resorts also announced the appointment of Joshua Le Duff as Senior Vice President and Chief Marketing Officer, pending regulatory approvals. In corporate governance updates, the company extended CFO Lewis (JO:LEWJ) Fanger’s contract and held its Annual Meeting, where stockholders approved the 2025 Equity Incentive Plan and advised on executive compensation votes. The company is optimistic about future EBITDA improvements and plans for a permanent American Place facility, with no immediate cash tax liabilities expected through 2029. These recent developments provide a comprehensive view of the company’s current position and strategic direction.

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