JMP reiterates Market Outperform rating on Goosehead Insurance stock

Published 24/07/2025, 10:28
JMP reiterates Market Outperform rating on Goosehead Insurance stock

Investing.com - JMP Securities has reiterated its Market Outperform rating and $150.00 price target on Goosehead Insurance Inc . (NASDAQ:GSHD) following the company’s second-quarter 2025 results. The insurance broker, currently valued at $3.88 billion, shows strong financial health according to InvestingPro analysis, with a "GREAT" overall rating.

The insurance broker reported operating earnings per share of $0.49, exceeding JMP’s estimate of $0.39 but falling short of the consensus forecast of $0.50. Total (EPA:TTEF) revenues reached $94.8 million, surpassing both JMP’s estimate of $88.9 million and the consensus of $92.7 million. This performance aligns with the company’s strong revenue growth trajectory, which InvestingPro data shows at 21.87% over the last twelve months.

The earnings beat was primarily driven by renewal commissions of $23.1 million, which included a $3 million past-due catch-up, and royalty renewal fees of $45.4 million, which included a $1 million past-due catch-up.

Total written premiums, described as a key leading indicator for future revenues, came in at $1.17 billion, representing 18% growth but falling below expectations of $1.23 billion. JMP attributed this to price increases moderating faster than client retention is rebounding. With a current ratio of 2.79, the company maintains strong liquidity to support its growth initiatives. Discover more valuable insights about GSHD and 1,400+ other stocks through comprehensive Pro Research Reports available on InvestingPro.

Goosehead’s adjusted EBITDA was $29.1 million with a 31% margin, beating JMP’s expectation of $27.7 million but slightly missing the consensus forecast of $30.0 million. The company reported its policies in force increased by 13% to 1.8 million.

In other recent news, Goosehead Insurance reported its second-quarter 2025 earnings, revealing a slight miss on earnings per share (EPS) expectations but a beat on revenue forecasts. The company posted an EPS of $0.49, which was below the anticipated $0.50, representing a 2% negative surprise. However, revenue for the quarter reached $94 million, surpassing expectations by 0.26%. Despite the minor EPS miss, the revenue performance indicates a positive reception from investors. Piper Sandler downgraded Goosehead Insurance from Overweight to Neutral, reducing its price target to $109.00 from $122.00. The downgrade was attributed to concerns about the company’s growth trajectory, as the revenue growth acceleration in the second quarter did not meet expectations. Piper Sandler noted that while Goosehead maintains a strong growth platform, its growth rates are now trending closer to 20% rather than the previously anticipated 30%. These developments highlight the mixed reactions to Goosehead’s recent financial performance and future growth outlook.

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