JPMorgan raises McDonald’s stock price target to $305

Published 02/05/2025, 11:30
© Reuters.

On Friday, JPMorgan maintained its Overweight rating on McDonald’s Corporation (NYSE:MCD) shares and increased the price target to $305 from the previous $300. The adjustment follows McDonald’s first-quarter earnings performance, where the company reported earnings per share (EPS) of $2.62, slightly below JPMorgan’s estimate of $2.67. According to InvestingPro data, McDonald’s is currently trading near its 52-week high of $326.32, with a P/E ratio of 28.2x and a market capitalization of $224 billion.

The company faced challenges during the quarter, with U.S. comparable sales (comps) declining by 3.6% and international operated markets (IOM) comps falling by 1%. Despite these figures, the analyst at JPMorgan suggests that these results could represent the lowest point for U.S. sales, setting a foundation for potential improvement in the IOM segment going forward. InvestingPro analysis shows the company maintains strong fundamentals with a 56.8% gross profit margin and has consistently raised its dividend for 49 consecutive years.

The resilience of McDonald’s business model was highlighted, particularly its franchise-focused approach. The analyst noted that McDonald’s franchisees typically manage fewer stores compared to their peers and exclusively operate the McDonald’s brand. Additionally, the fact that McDonald’s Corporation often acts as the primary owner and landlord of the real estate utilized by franchisees adds a layer of stability in an environment where others might be facing more significant challenges. InvestingPro data reveals the company’s strong financial health with an Altman Z-Score of 5.4 and a robust return on assets of 14.8%. For deeper insights into McDonald’s financial health and extensive metrics, investors can access the comprehensive Pro Research Report, available exclusively to InvestingPro subscribers.

The JPMorgan analyst expressed confidence in the fast-food giant’s ability to navigate through the recent sales pressure experienced across its major markets. The firm’s maintained Overweight rating implies that they expect McDonald’s stock to outperform the average total return of the stocks covered over the next six to twelve months.

McDonald’s Corporation, with its significant global presence and franchising model, continues to be a closely watched entity in the fast-food industry. The slight increase in the price target by JPMorgan reflects a cautiously optimistic outlook for the company’s financial performance in the near term.

In other recent news, McDonald’s Corporation reported its first-quarter 2025 earnings, which fell short of analysts’ expectations. The company announced an adjusted earnings per share of $2.67, slightly below the forecasted $2.69, and revenue of $5.96 billion, missing the projection of $6.15 billion. Despite these challenges, McDonald’s maintained strong restaurant margins, generating over $3.3 billion. The company’s global comparable sales declined by 1%, reflecting broader economic pressures and consumer sentiment. McDonald’s reaffirmed its full-year 2025 financial targets, focusing on value, affordability, and menu innovation to drive growth. The company plans to introduce new products such as McCrispy Chicken Strips and reintroduce snack wraps to enhance its menu offerings. Analysts have not issued any recent upgrades or downgrades for McDonald’s stock, but the company continues to emphasize operational execution to navigate the current economic environment.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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