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Investing.com - JPMorgan raised its price target on Voestalpine AG (VIE:VOE) to EUR30.10 from EUR24.30 while maintaining a Neutral rating, citing potential benefits from expected European Commission revisions to steel import quotas.
The investment bank placed Voestalpine on positive Catalyst Watch with an end-September time horizon, noting that European-focused steel producers would likely have the greatest leverage into the upcoming regulatory changes.
JPMorgan highlighted that EU Member States and Eurofer requested in July that the European Commission reduce import volumes by 50%, equivalent to approximately 4 million tonnes of steel or about 3% of consumption, a scenario that could trigger EU steel price inflation.
The firm forecasts EU hot-rolled coil steel prices to rise approximately 20% higher by Q4 2026, with Voestalpine’s CY H1’26 EBITDA projected to be roughly 20% higher compared to H2’25, while its CY Q3/Q4 EBITDA estimates are 3%/14% above consensus.
JPMorgan also identified a potential future financial catalyst in Voestalpine’s Railways division, where the company may increase financial disclosure and where European Capital Goods peers trade at 8-9x EV/EBITDA multiples.
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