JPMorgan upgrades M Dias Branco stock to Overweight on margin recovery

Published 12/08/2025, 07:58
JPMorgan upgrades M Dias Branco stock to Overweight on margin recovery

Investing.com - JPMorgan has upgraded M Dias Branco SA (BVMF:MDIA3) from Neutral to Overweight and raised its price target to R$33.00 from R$24.00 following the company’s strong quarterly performance.

The upgrade comes after M Dias Branco reported a 30% EBITDA beat in the second quarter of 2025, which JPMorgan views as the beginning of a margin recovery cycle expected to continue for several quarters.

Despite a 16% rally in the stock on Monday, while the Ibovespa index fell 0.2%, JPMorgan still considers the shares undervalued, trading at 9.2x P/E for 2026 estimates, below its five-year average of 13x, with an 8.4% free cash flow yield.

The bank noted key operational improvements including a significant price increase during the quarter, with prices up 15% year-over-year and 6% quarter-over-quarter, alongside a faster-than-expected margin recovery for the full year.

JPMorgan has increased its 2025 EBITDA estimate for M Dias Branco by 11% to R$1,340 million, which is 15% above consensus, citing the combination of better-than-expected operational performance and attractive valuation as key factors in the upgrade.

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