Keefe analysts cut Cipher Mining target to $8, keep Outperform

Published 28/02/2025, 21:52
Keefe analysts cut Cipher Mining target to $8, keep Outperform

On Friday, Keefe, Bruyette & Woods adjusted their expectations for Cipher Mining (NASDAQ:CIFR), reducing the company’s price target to $8.00 from the previous $10.00. Despite this change, they maintained an Outperform rating for the firm’s stock. The revision followed the company’s recent performance report, which Keefe analysts found consistent with their projections. The report also shed light on Cipher Mining’s effective execution of a power strategy that supports the analysts’ long-term view that the most cost-effective producers prevail in commodity markets.

Cipher Mining’s recent activities include the strategic acquisition of five sites in the fourth quarter, which were procured at favorable prices. These sites are deemed suitable for AI/High-Performance Computing (HPC) hosting services and are expected to be operational between 2025 and 2027. With a robust gross profit margin of 58.77% and revenue growth of 19.26% in the last twelve months, this move demonstrates the company’s capability to identify and secure valuable assets beyond its core focus on Bitcoin mining.

The research team at Keefe, Bruyette & Woods continues to view Cipher Mining as a company with a robust mix of downside protection and upside potential. The downside protection comes from the company’s superior unit economics in Bitcoin mining, while the upside is linked to a significant power pipeline of approximately 2.8 gigawatts. This pipeline has garnered interest from prominent investors, including SoftBank (TYO:9984), as well as other potential major clients in the hyperscaler market segment.

The analysts’ optimism about Cipher Mining’s future is rooted in the company’s strategic approach to asset acquisition and its ability to attract influential partners in the energy and technology sectors. These factors contribute to Cipher Mining’s competitive edge as a low-cost commodity producer with a promising outlook for growth and profitability. For a deeper understanding of Cipher Mining’s potential, InvestingPro offers comprehensive analysis with 13 additional ProTips and detailed financial metrics in its exclusive Pro Research Report, helping investors make more informed decisions about this emerging player in the crypto mining sector.

In other recent news, Cipher Mining reported a significant earnings beat for the fourth quarter of 2024, with an earnings per share of $0.05, surpassing the forecasted loss of $0.087. The company’s revenue increased by 75% quarter-over-quarter, reaching $42 million, marking a strong performance supported by successful operational upgrades. Despite this, Cipher Mining faced a stock price decline, attributed to investor disappointment over the lack of a definitive announcement on a high-performance computing/artificial intelligence (HPC/AI) deal. Needham adjusted its price target for Cipher Mining to $7.00 from $7.50, maintaining a Buy rating due to reduced expectations for the company’s 2025 adjusted EBITDA, influenced by lower projected bitcoin prices. H.C. Wainwright, however, maintained a Buy rating with an $8.00 price target, highlighting Cipher Mining’s robust financial results and future growth potential. The company is actively pursuing HPC data center developments, with over 2.1 gigawatts of capacity in Texas, and recent land acquisitions at the Barber Lake site. Cipher Mining’s strategic initiatives include a pipeline of greenfield sites and a memorandum of understanding for a new 500 MW data center, enhancing its growth prospects in the HPC space.

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