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On Wednesday, Keefe, Bruyette & Woods analysts upheld their positive stance on Allstate shares (NYSE: ALL), reiterating an Outperform rating and a $240.00 price target. The firm’s analysis of Allstate’s year-end 2024 Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) reserves suggests that the company’s GAAP loss and allocated loss adjustment expenses (ALAE) reserves were approximately $509 million higher than necessary, a decrease from the estimated $861 million at year-end 2023.
The analysts observed that Allstate’s reserve development for the calendar year 2024 mainly reflected releases from the accident year 2023, which exceeded the strengthening of reserves from earlier accident years. This reserve redundancy was noted across all disclosed lines except for Auto Liability.
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods analysts have maintained their earnings per share (EPS) estimates for Allstate at $17.50 for 2024 and $20.75 for 2025. These projections do not account for any net reserve development. The price target of $240 is based on 11.6 times the firm’s projected EPS for 2026.
The analysts’ commentary provided a detailed view of Allstate’s reserve position and expectations for the company’s financial performance. Trading at a P/E ratio of 11.97, InvestingPro analysis suggests the stock is currently undervalued, with additional insights available in the comprehensive Pro Research Report, which covers what really matters for 1,400+ top US stocks through intuitive visuals and expert analysis. The affirmation of the Outperform rating and price target indicates a continued confidence in Allstate’s stock performance moving forward.
In other recent news, Allstate Corporation (NYSE:ALL) reported significant financial impacts from January’s catastrophe losses, totaling $1.08 billion, primarily due to the California wildfires. This figure, net of reinsurance recoveries, aligns with previous estimates shared during Allstate’s fourth-quarter earnings call. Additionally, Allstate experienced a slight decrease in its auto policies in force, though it showed minor growth in homeowners’ policies compared to the previous year. In legal matters, New York Attorney General Letitia James filed a lawsuit against Allstate and National General over data breaches that exposed sensitive information of over 165,000 New Yorkers in 2020 and 2021. The lawsuit alleges inadequate data security measures and seeks penalties and an injunction against further violations.
Analyst firms Piper Sandler and Keefe, Bruyette & Woods recently maintained their positive outlook on Allstate. Piper Sandler reiterated an Overweight rating with a $248 price target, expressing confidence in Allstate’s ability to reverse declining auto policies. Keefe, Bruyette & Woods reaffirmed an Outperform rating with a $240 price target, citing a stabilization in policy trends and maintaining their earnings per share estimates for the coming years. These developments reflect ongoing investor interest in Allstate’s financial performance and strategic initiatives.
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