Keefe Bruyette maintains Corpay Outperform amid AVDX deal

Published 27/05/2025, 13:54
Keefe Bruyette maintains Corpay Outperform amid AVDX deal

On Tuesday, Keefe, Bruyette & Woods reaffirmed their Outperform rating and $445.00 price target for Corpay (NYSE:CPAY) shares. In a recent analysis, the firm addressed questions raised by investors following Corpay’s detailed disclosures in its 10-Q report regarding the acquisition of a stake in AVDX alongside TPG, the majority investor.

The firm’s analyst highlighted the innovative structure of the deal, which includes make-whole assurances for Corpay’s partners. These assurances are seen as a strategic move that is expected to provide substantial returns for both Corpay and its shareholders. With a robust gross profit margin of 78% and strong revenue growth of 6.7% over the last twelve months, the analyst praised the company’s strategic approach, stating, "this is brilliant execution on the part of CPAY."

Corpay’s decision to acquire a stake in AVDX was described as a way to test a business hypothesis with limited risk. The estimated exposure for Corpay, if the venture does not succeed and the company is required to compensate TPG, is approximately $640 million more than what Corpay would have paid at present.

The reaffirmation of the Outperform rating reflects Keefe, Bruyette & Woods’ positive outlook on Corpay’s strategic initiatives and its potential to yield attractive returns. The analyst’s comments suggest confidence in Corpay’s calculated approach to its investment in AVDX and its ability to manage the associated risks effectively.

The firm’s maintained rating and price target indicate a steady belief in Corpay’s performance and future prospects, as the company continues to navigate its recent acquisition and potential growth opportunities.

In other recent news, Corpay reported its first-quarter 2025 earnings, showing an 8% increase in revenue to $1.6 billion and earnings per share (EPS) of $4.51, meeting market expectations. The company’s Corporate Payments segment saw a significant 19% organic growth, while Vehicle Payments grew by 8%. Additionally, Corpay’s strategic investments, including a $500 million stake in AvidXchange and a partnership with Mastercard (NYSE:MA), highlight its focus on expanding payment technology capabilities. BMO Capital Markets raised Corpay’s stock target to $410, maintaining an Outperform rating, citing potential growth in Vehicle and Corporate Payments. Meanwhile, JPMorgan adjusted its price target to $400, maintaining an Overweight rating, noting the company’s strategic shift towards high-growth sectors. Jefferies also increased its target to $375, expressing confidence in Corpay’s strategic direction and potential valuation growth. These developments reflect a strong outlook for Corpay, underlined by strategic partnerships and investments aimed at enhancing its market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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