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Investing.com - Kepler Cheuvreux downgraded NKT A/S (CSE:NKT) from Hold to Reduce on Thursday, while simultaneously raising its price target to DKK710.00 from DKK595.00.
The research firm expressed caution about NKT’s long-term margin sustainability despite acknowledging the cable manufacturer’s ambitious 2030 EBITDA target of more than DKK900 million, which implies approximately 23% EBITDA margin overall and 25-28% in its Transmission segment.
Kepler Cheuvreux warned investors against using 2030 margins as terminal-year reference points, noting that while HVDC Asian competition isn’t a major concern, transmission system operator (TSO) capital expenditure is expected to plateau between 2030-2035.
The analyst firm further explained that increased industry capacity will likely lead to margin normalization in the sector, which could impact NKT’s long-term profitability despite current positive indicators.
The downgrade comes as Kepler Cheuvreux views NKT’s current stock price as trading at a significant premium compared to both its base case discounted cash flow valuation of DKK710 and substantially above industry peers Prysmian and Nexans.
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