KeyBanc cuts WESCO stock target to $205, keeps Overweight

Published 17/03/2025, 13:44
KeyBanc cuts WESCO stock target to $205, keeps Overweight

On Monday, KeyBanc Capital Markets adjusted its price target for WESCO International (NYSE:WCC), a leading provider of business-to-business distribution, logistics services, and supply chain solutions. Analyst Ken Newman revised the price target downward to $205 from the previous target of $245, while maintaining an Overweight rating on the company’s shares. The stock, currently trading at $162.86, remains below both KeyBanc’s target and the broader analyst consensus range of $200-250. According to InvestingPro data, WESCO has shown significant volatility recently, with the stock down nearly 10% year-to-date despite strong fundamentals.

Newman cited several reasons for the price target adjustment, including a solid mix of demand visibility in key sectors such as electrical utilities and data centers. Despite the reduced target, Newman remains optimistic about WESCO’s prospects, highlighting the company’s improving capital structure that is expected to enhance cash generation. He also pointed out WESCO’s attractive valuation compared to its peers and its historical average. This view is supported by InvestingPro metrics, which show WESCO trading at a P/E ratio of 12.4x and maintaining a strong financial health score. The company’s current ratio of 2.2 indicates robust liquidity, with liquid assets well exceeding short-term obligations.

The analyst acknowledged that WESCO might face increased volatility due to macroeconomic uncertainties but expressed confidence in the company’s backlog, which should provide better revenue visibility through 2025 compared to its pure MRO (Maintenance, Repair, and Operations) peers. Newman also addressed concerns regarding WESCO’s exposure to the data center segment, suggesting that these concerns might be overstated as WESCO typically engages later in the data center construction cycle.

Furthermore, Newman anticipates that WESCO’s planned buyout of its high-yield 10.625% preferred stock will bolster cash flow. He noted that the new $205 price target implies an EV/EBITDA (Enterprise Value/Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization) multiple of 9.7x for 2025 and 9.1x for 2026. This is in comparison to the company’s historical average EV/EBITDA multiple of 9.0x. Newman’s commentary suggests a belief in WESCO’s continued financial health and growth potential despite the revised price target.

In other recent news, WESCO International reported fourth-quarter earnings per share of $3.16, which fell short of the consensus estimate of $3.25, although revenue exceeded expectations at $5.5 billion compared to the projected $5.41 billion. The company experienced significant growth in its global data center and broadband solutions businesses, with increases of over 70% and 20% respectively, despite facing challenges in the industrial and utility segments. For the full year 2024, WESCO’s net sales were $21.8 billion, a 2.5% decrease from the previous year, while generating a record operating cash flow of $1.1 billion.

WESCO has recently completed an $800 million senior notes offering through its subsidiary, WESCO Distribution, with plans to use the proceeds for redeeming its preferred stock and repaying portions of its credit facilities. Additionally, WESCO has amended its credit facilities to extend maturities and increase revolving commitments. In another strategic financial move, the company announced plans to issue $600 million in senior notes for further debt management.

Analysts have weighed in on WESCO’s performance, with KeyBanc Capital Markets maintaining an Overweight rating and a $245 price target, despite acknowledging challenges in the company’s outlook for 2025. Oppenheimer also reiterated an Outperform rating with a $225 price target, noting the company’s adjusted EPS guidance for 2025 falls below their expectations. Looking forward, WESCO anticipates organic sales growth of 2.5% to 6.5% in 2025 and plans to increase its dividend by 10% while continuing its share buyback program.

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