KeyBanc maintains Palo Alto Networks stock at $220 target

Published 21/05/2025, 11:56
© Kfir Sivan, Palo Alto Networks PR

On Wednesday, KeyBanc Capital Markets sustained its confidence in Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ:PANW), maintaining an Overweight stock rating with a steady price target of $220.00. According to InvestingPro data, the company currently trades at a P/E ratio of 100.76, suggesting a premium valuation relative to its Fair Value. As a prominent player in the software industry, Palo Alto Networks has demonstrated strong momentum with a 24.8% return over the past year. The firm’s stance comes after Palo Alto Networks reported third-quarter fiscal results that aligned with expectations and provided a fourth-quarter forecast consistent with prior estimates. The company’s management acknowledged solid performance in April despite economic challenges, though conditions have since stabilized.

Palo Alto Networks saw a $12 million revenue surplus, propelled by a 16% year-over-year increase in product sales, which helped to balance a minor shortfall in subscription revenues. The company’s overall revenue growth stands at 13.86% over the last twelve months, reaching $8.57 billion. Want deeper insights? InvestingPro offers 15+ additional tips and comprehensive analysis for Palo Alto Networks, including detailed growth metrics and valuation indicators. Key performance indicators such as Next-Generation Security (NGS) Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR), billings, Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO), and profit margins all met projections. The fourth-quarter guidance for revenue, RPO, NGS, and earnings per share (EPS) aligns with expectations.

The company has uplifted its fiscal year 2025 adjusted free cash flow (FCF) outlook by 0.25% at the midpoint, despite a slight underperformance in the third quarter and heightened demand from major clients for yearly payment options. NGS ARR demonstrated robust growth, particularly in areas like XISAM, which surged over 200% year-over-year, SASE with a 36% increase, and Prisma Access Browser, where seat numbers expanded elevenfold year-over-year.

Product growth acceleration to 16% year-over-year was primarily fueled by software form-factor sales, while appliance sales remained consistent. Management anticipates similar product growth in the coming quarter and expects artificial intelligence adoption to significantly boost virtual firewall growth. KeyBanc has decided to maintain the $220 price target as its earnings estimates for Palo Alto Networks remain largely unchanged. InvestingPro analysis reveals the company maintains a GREAT financial health score of 3.14, with strong cash flows that adequately cover its interest payments. Discover the complete financial story with InvestingPro’s exclusive Research Report, available for over 1,400 US stocks.

In other recent news, Palo Alto Networks reported its third fiscal quarter earnings, revealing a 15% increase in revenue to $2,289 million, slightly surpassing expectations. The company’s Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) for next-generation security reached $5,090 million, marking a 34% year-over-year increase, which was just above BTIG’s estimate. Jefferies maintained a Buy rating on the stock, highlighting a 19% year-over-year increase in Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) to $13.5 billion, aligning with company guidance. Evercore ISI raised its price target for Palo Alto Networks to $220, citing platform strength and new product metrics despite some inconsistencies. UBS and BTIG both maintained a Neutral rating, noting mixed results, including a slowdown in booking metrics and subscription revenue growth. Guggenheim reiterated a Sell rating, pointing out a decline in Total (EPA:TTEF) New ARR for the seventh consecutive quarter and expressing skepticism about the company’s valuation. The anticipated acquisition of Protect AI is expected to contribute to the company’s guidance for the fourth fiscal quarter. Management expressed confidence in achieving a strong free cash flow trajectory, aiming for $4.5 billion by fiscal year 2027.

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