KeyBanc maintains Sector Weight on Restoration Hardware stock

Published 03/04/2025, 13:08
KeyBanc maintains Sector Weight on Restoration Hardware stock

On Thursday, KeyBanc Capital Markets maintained its Sector Weight rating on Restoration Hardware (NYSE: RH (NYSE:RH)) stock. According to InvestingPro data, RH shares have experienced significant volatility, falling over 25% in the past six months, with current trading at $249.35. Analysts at KeyBanc highlighted that Restoration Hardware’s recent financial results did not meet expectations due to a decrease in demand partway through the quarter. This led to both sales and earnings per share (EPS) falling below the consensus estimates, with diluted EPS at $3.51 for the last twelve months.

Restoration Hardware also provided guidance for the year 2025 that was lower than what analysts had anticipated. The company cited challenging macroeconomic conditions and ongoing uncertainty regarding tariffs as the primary reasons for this conservative outlook. Based on InvestingPro analysis, RH maintains a current ratio of 1.43, indicating sufficient liquidity to meet short-term obligations, though the company operates with a significant debt burden. Despite efforts by Restoration Hardware to mitigate the impact of tariffs on its business, the introduction of new reciprocal tariffs poses additional risks. Discover 8 more exclusive InvestingPro Tips and comprehensive financial analysis in the Pro Research Report.

KeyBanc analysts noted that while Restoration Hardware is launching a new range of products that could offer growth opportunities, the current economic environment and the unknown effects of tariffs on consumer spending raise concerns. The tariffs may influence consumers to postpone purchases of expensive, non-essential items. This potential hesitancy among consumers has led KeyBanc to maintain their current rating on the company’s stock.

The commentary from KeyBanc reflects a cautious stance on Restoration Hardware’s future performance in light of recent developments affecting the retail sector. The company’s ability to navigate these challenges while continuing to innovate and attract customers with its product offerings will be crucial in the coming years. As of now, KeyBanc’s position remains unchanged, as they wait to see how the situation evolves.

In other recent news, Restoration Hardware has reported its fourth-quarter 2024 earnings, revealing a miss in both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue forecasts. The company posted an EPS of $1.58, falling short of the expected $1.89, and revenue of $812.4 million, which was below the forecasted $828.24 million. Despite these misses, Restoration Hardware reported a strong revenue increase of 18% year-over-year. In terms of future outlook, the company projects fiscal year 2025 revenue growth between 10% and 13%, with an operating margin of 14% to 15%.

Analyst firms have reacted to these developments, with Guggenheim cutting its price target for the company’s stock to $300 from $500, while maintaining a Buy rating. Conversely, Telsey Advisory Group raised its price target to $280 from $240, keeping an Outperform rating. Telsey noted that although the company faced challenges, such as negative free cash flow in the fourth quarter due to a 35% inventory increase, there remains confidence in its long-term performance.

Restoration Hardware is also navigating the potential impacts of new tariffs, which could increase product costs by 30-35%. The company is taking steps to mitigate these impacts, including expanding its manufacturing in North America. Despite the uncertainties, RH is planning to open several new design and concept galleries, signaling continued investment in its growth strategy.

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