KeyBanc raises Paycom stock target to $270 on strong sales

Published 08/05/2025, 12:38
KeyBanc raises Paycom stock target to $270 on strong sales

On Thursday, KeyBanc Capital Markets analyst Jason Celino increased the price target for Paycom Software (NYSE:PAYC), a provider of comprehensive, cloud-based human capital management software, from $245 to $270, while maintaining an Overweight rating on the shares. According to InvestingPro data, Paycom demonstrates impressive financial health with an 85.8% gross profit margin and maintains a strong balance sheet with more cash than debt. The adjustment follows Paycom’s announcement of a $6 million beat in first-quarter recurring revenue, which grew by 7.3% year-over-year, attributed to better execution. The company also experienced a significant rise in booked sales and units sold.

Celino noted that if adjusted for calendar impacts, the first-quarter recurring revenue growth would have been approximately 10%, aligning with the growth observed in the previous quarter. Paycom has also updated its 2025 revenue and EBITDA guidance, while maintaining its recurring revenue growth outlook at around 9%. The analyst expressed optimism about Paycom’s performance and potential, citing the company’s ability to exceed expectations and its promising future prospects.

The report highlighted Paycom’s strong execution and sales results, which have led KeyBanc to increase its estimates for the company’s 2025 financials. These revised estimates have also been carried over into the 2026 model. KeyBanc’s confidence in Paycom is further bolstered by the company’s potential for acceleration, opportunities for international expansion, and potential for margin growth. The company’s solid performance is reflected in its 11.19% revenue growth over the last twelve months. InvestingPro subscribers can access 10+ additional exclusive insights about Paycom’s growth potential and financial health.

The company’s updated outlook and first-quarter results have been instrumental in KeyBanc’s decision to raise their price target. Paycom’s focus on maintaining a steady growth trajectory in recurring revenue, alongside raising its future financial guidance, has played a key role in the analyst’s positive outlook on the stock.

Investors are keeping a close eye on Paycom’s stock performance following this updated guidance and the raised price target from KeyBanc, which reflects a heightened confidence in the company’s ability to execute its business strategy effectively and deliver on its financial goals. The stock has shown strong momentum with an 11.76% year-to-date return, and InvestingPro analysis indicates the stock is currently trading below its Fair Value, suggesting potential upside opportunity. Detailed valuation analysis and comprehensive research reports are available exclusively for InvestingPro subscribers.

In other recent news, Paycom Software Inc. reported its first-quarter 2025 earnings, surpassing Wall Street expectations. The company achieved an earnings per share of $2.80, exceeding the projected $2.57, and reported revenue of $531 million, which was above the anticipated $525.88 million. This strong financial performance reflects a 6% year-over-year revenue growth and a 7% increase in recurring and other revenue. Paycom’s robust cash position, with $521 million and no debt, further underscores its financial health. Additionally, the company has been recognized for its innovative product offerings, such as the "Gone" and "Betty" solutions, which contribute to operational efficiency and growth. The company’s strategic focus on automation and international expansion is expected to drive future revenue growth, with full-year 2025 revenue projected between $2.023 billion and $2.038 billion. Analyst firms have noted Paycom’s continued strength in mid-market opportunities and its successful client retention strategies. These developments highlight Paycom’s ongoing commitment to innovation and strategic execution in the competitive human capital management software space.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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