Loop Capital lifts Vulcan Materials stock target to $325

Published 19/02/2025, 14:02
Loop Capital lifts Vulcan Materials stock target to $325

Wednesday - Loop Capital analysts have raised the price target on Vulcan Materials Company (NYSE:VMC) to $325 from the previous $310, while maintaining a Buy rating on the stock. Currently trading at $272.76 with a market capitalization of $36 billion, the company trades at relatively high multiples according to InvestingPro data. The increase reflects Vulcan Materials’ strong fourth-quarter performance, which surpassed expectations due to favorable weather conditions that enhanced operating leverage and improved aggregates cash gross profit per ton.

The analysts highlighted Vulcan Materials’ effective cost control and their ability to implement significant price increases, which they believe should lead to margin expansion. The company’s financial guidance for the fiscal year 2025 was also noted to be above market expectations. This outlook includes an anticipated $150 million in EBITDA contributions from the recent acquisitions of Wake Stone and Superior Ready Mix. Notably, InvestingPro data shows the company has maintained dividend payments for 55 consecutive years, demonstrating remarkable financial stability.

Vulcan Materials’ fourth-quarter results were particularly noteworthy as they followed a trend of margin-driven beats reported by peers in the industry. With an "GREAT" overall financial health score according to InvestingPro, the company demonstrates strong fundamentals. Loop Capital’s increased price target to $325 reflects a $15 rise, underpinned by the analysts’ confidence in the company’s potential for future growth.

The firm’s optimism is based on several factors that contributed to Vulcan Materials’ strong fourth-quarter performance, including the ability to maintain above-normal pricing, manage unit cost inflation effectively, and potentially achieve higher than anticipated incremental margins in the aggregates sector. The company generated $7.4 billion in revenue and $2 billion in EBITDA over the last twelve months, showcasing its substantial market presence.

Loop Capital’s analysis suggests that, assuming normal weather conditions continue, Vulcan Materials may experience more upside potential than downside risk. The company’s recent financial achievements and strategic acquisitions are expected to support this positive outlook.

In other recent news, Vulcan Materials Company reported a robust fourth quarter for 2024, exceeding expectations with an earnings per share of $2.17, surpassing the forecasted $1.78. The company’s revenue also outpaced projections, coming in at $1.85 billion against the anticipated $1.81 billion. Vulcan Materials demonstrated a 16% year-over-year increase in adjusted EBITDA for Q4, reaching $550 million, and a full-year adjusted EBITDA of $2.1 billion. The company has projected its 2025 adjusted EBITDA to range between $2.35 billion and $2.55 billion, with expectations of 5-7% aggregate price increases and a 3-5% rise in shipments. Vulcan Materials invested approximately $2.3 billion in strategic acquisitions in 2024, contributing to its strong financial performance. Analysts have noted the company’s effective cost management and strategic investments as key factors in its ability to surpass earnings and revenue forecasts. Additionally, Vulcan Materials plans capital expenditures of $750-$800 million in 2025, focusing on expanding unit margins and operational efficiencies.

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