Cardiff Oncology shares plunge after Q2 earnings miss
On Thursday, Macquarie maintained its Outperform rating on Gambling.com Group Ltd. (NASDAQ: GAMB) but reduced the price target to $18.00 from the previous $19.00. According to InvestingPro analysis, GAMB appears undervalued at current levels, with impressive financial metrics including a 94% gross profit margin and a P/E ratio of 15.3. The adjustment follows the company’s first-quarter 2025 earnings release, which revealed year-over-year increases in revenue and EBITDA by 39% and 55%, respectively. These figures slightly surpassed the consensus estimates.
The performance was attributed to robust growth in the iGaming sector, which saw a 24% year-over-year increase to $25 million, and sports revenue, which jumped 68% year-over-year to $15 million. This includes a significant $10 million boost from sports data services, marking a substantial 405% year-over-year rise, following the acquisitions of OddsJam and OpticOdds on January 1. The company’s strong execution has contributed to an impressive 73.8% return over the past year, as tracked by InvestingPro, which offers comprehensive analysis and 13 additional key insights about GAMB’s performance.
Management highlighted that 24% of first-quarter revenues were now derived from highly predictable recurring subscriptions. This marks a strategic shift for Gambling.com, transitioning from a sole focus on marketing to a combined emphasis on marketing and sports data services. The company’s management reiterated their revenue guidance for 2025, expecting between $170 million and $174 million, and EBITDA forecasts of $67 million to $69 million, indicating a growth of 35% and 40% year-over-year, respectively.
Looking ahead, the company’s management anticipates continued market-share gains in the UK and European markets. They also predict an easier competitive landscape for sports betting in North America. Subscriptions are expected to comprise 20% of the company’s total revenue for 2025. InvestingPro’s analysis reveals the company maintains a strong financial health score of GREAT, with moderate debt levels and sufficient cash flows to cover interest payments. It is important to note that these projections do not include potential revenue from the expected launch of online sports betting in Missouri in the second half of 2025.
In other recent news, Gambling.com Group reported first-quarter earnings that exceeded analyst expectations. The company posted adjusted earnings per share of $0.46, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.24. Revenue for the quarter reached a record $40.6 million, slightly above the anticipated $40.38 million, marking a 39% increase year-over-year. Gambling.com Group also delivered over 138,000 new depositing customers, a 29% rise from the previous year. Marketing services revenue grew 13% year-over-year to $30.7 million, while sports data services revenue surged 405% to $9.9 million, largely due to the acquisition of OddsJam and OpticOdds. The company reiterated its full-year 2025 guidance, projecting revenue between $170 million and $174 million and adjusted EBITDA of $67 million to $69 million. This outlook suggests year-over-year growth of 35% and 40%, respectively, at the midpoint. Adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter increased 56% to $15.9 million, with a margin of 39%. Free cash flow rose 25% to $10.3 million.
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