Middleby stock price target cut to $186 by Canaccord Genuity

Published 08/05/2025, 12:18
Middleby stock price target cut to $186 by Canaccord Genuity

On Thursday, Canaccord Genuity made adjustments to its outlook on Middleby Corp (NASDAQ:MIDD), reducing the price target from the previous $200.00 to $186.00, while still recommending a Buy rating for the company’s shares. According to InvestingPro data, analyst targets for the stock range from $125 to $205, suggesting potential upside despite recent volatility. The revision followed Middleby’s first-quarter results, which were released before the market opened and revealed revenue figures approximately 4% below the Street’s expectations. Despite this shortfall, the company’s earnings per share (EPS) were about 5% higher than anticipated. InvestingPro analysis shows Middleby maintains strong fundamentals with a healthy current ratio of 2.81 and an overall Financial Health score of "GOOD."

Middleby’s Food Processing segment sales were notably under consensus estimates by roughly 10%, attributed to delays in deliveries requested by customers. Despite this, the company is on schedule with its plans to spin off this segment by early 2026. The Commercial Foodservice and Residential Kitchen segments also underperformed, missing consensus estimates by about 1% and 4%, respectively. The company maintains a solid gross profit margin of 37.94% and generates strong cash returns, with a Cash Return on Invested Capital of 11%.

The company also provided an estimate on the impact of tariffs, projecting an increase in annual expenses by $150 million to $200 million. This forecast is a significant factor influencing Canaccord Genuity’s decision to lower the price target. The reduced price target reflects both lowered earnings estimates and a decreased target multiple.

Canaccord Genuity’s analyst emphasized the continued endorsement of a Buy rating for Middleby, despite the adjustments to the financial outlook. The report highlighted the company’s performance in terms of earnings and the strategic direction it is heading with the planned spin-off of the Food Processing business.

In other recent news, Middleby Corp reported an impressive earnings per share (EPS) of $2.08 for the first quarter of 2025, surpassing analysts’ expectations of $1.98. Despite this earnings beat, the company faced a revenue shortfall, recording $906.63 million against a forecast of $941.38 million. Notably, Middleby Corp has authorized a substantial $7.5 billion share repurchase program, reflecting its strategic focus on returning value to shareholders. Additionally, the company is planning to separate its food processing business into a standalone public entity by early 2026, a move aimed at unlocking significant shareholder value.

The company is actively working to mitigate the financial impacts of tariffs, which are estimated to increase annual expenses by $150-200 million. Middleby Corp’s efforts include strategic operational actions and pricing adjustments to offset these costs by the end of the year. Analysts have noted that the company’s robust cash flow generation and strategic initiatives underscore its competitive positioning. Looking forward, Middleby Corp anticipates sequential revenue improvement in the second quarter of 2025, despite ongoing market uncertainties. The company remains confident in its long-term growth prospects, focusing on market expansion and product innovation.

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