Mizuho cuts Globant stock target to $153, maintains outperform

Published 16/05/2025, 13:14
Mizuho cuts Globant stock target to $153, maintains outperform

On Friday, Mizuho (NYSE:MFG) Securities adjusted its outlook on Globant S.A. (NYSE:GLOB) shares, reducing the price target to $153 from the previous $194, while reaffirming an Outperform rating on the stock. Currently trading at $132.84 with a market capitalization of $5.85 billion, Globant has seen its stock decline by over 34% in the past six months. This decision follows the company’s first-quarter earnings report for 2025, which included a revision of its full-year revenue growth guidance. According to InvestingPro data, seven analysts have recently revised their earnings expectations downward for the upcoming period.

Globant reported that it has revised its constant currency (CC) revenue growth forecast for 2025 downward. The new guidance suggests at least a 2% increase, a significant drop from the prior midpoint expectation of 12%. Excluding mergers and acquisitions, the company now expects revenue growth to be flat at best, in contrast to the previous midpoint forecast of 9.5%. Despite these challenges, InvestingPro analysis shows the company maintains a GOOD overall Financial Health Score, with particularly strong marks in profitability metrics.

The adjustment in guidance is primarily attributed to weaker performance expectations in Latin America, particularly in Brazil and Mexico. Challenges in these markets have led to delayed deals and slower conversion rates in the U.S. Despite these setbacks, Mizuho analysts believe that the issues impacting Globant are temporary and that the company’s long-term prospects remain positive. The company’s last twelve months revenue growth stands at 11.9%, with a P/E ratio of 34.65, reflecting its growth-oriented valuation.

Globant’s business pipeline has shown a 20% year-over-year growth, indicating potential for future revenue. The analysts also suggest that the revised guidance may have reduced risk, as it is based on the assumption of relatively flat sequential growth in the second half of the year. This outlook takes into account anticipated large deal ramps in the Middle East and early signs of market stabilization in the second quarter.

In light of the new guidance and market conditions, Mizuho has also revised its revenue and earnings per share (EPS) estimates for Globant for the years 2025 and 2026. Despite the reduction in the price target and estimates, the firm’s Outperform rating stands, signaling confidence in Globant’s ability to perform well in the long term. InvestingPro analysis indicates that Globant is currently trading below its Fair Value, suggesting potential upside opportunity. Discover more insights and access the comprehensive Pro Research Report, along with 10+ additional ProTips available exclusively for InvestingPro subscribers.

In other recent news, Globant S.A. reported first-quarter earnings that did not meet analyst expectations, leading to a 24% drop in its stock value. The company posted adjusted earnings per share of $1.50, falling short of the expected $1.60, and revenue of $611.1 million, which was below the anticipated $624.97 million. Globant’s guidance for the second quarter and the full year also disappointed, with projected revenue and earnings per share failing to meet consensus estimates. Following these results, several analyst firms adjusted their outlooks on Globant. Goldman Sachs downgraded the stock from Buy to Neutral, citing challenges in key sectors and a decline in discretionary projects. Needham maintained a Buy rating but reduced the price target to $115, reflecting short-term obstacles. JPMorgan lowered its price target to $108, maintaining an Overweight rating, while Piper Sandler downgraded the stock to Neutral with a price target of $116. These developments highlight the challenges Globant faces amid global economic uncertainties impacting client spending and project timelines.

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