Mizuho cuts Home Depot target to $435, keeps Outperform rating

Published 21/05/2025, 12:30
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On Wednesday, Mizuho (NYSE:MFG) Securities adjusted its outlook on Home Depot stock (NYSE:HD), reducing the price target to $435 from the previous $450. Despite this change, the firm maintained its Outperform rating for the home improvement retailer. Currently trading at $377.05 with a P/E ratio of 25.76, Home Depot remains a prominent player in the Specialty Retail industry. The adjustment follows Home Depot’s first-quarter results, which delivered a positive surprise in U.S. comparable sales and confirmed the company’s full-year guidance. According to InvestingPro, analyst targets for the stock range from $297.34 to $484.

The report from Mizuho highlighted several key takeaways from a follow-up call with Home Depot. Notably, April comparable store sales were stronger than anticipated, showing a 2.5% increase excluding the Easter shift, with this momentum reportedly carrying into early May. With revenue growth of 7.33% and a robust gross profit margin of 33.34%, Home Depot’s sourcing flexibility has largely shielded it from widespread price hikes, although prices have been creeping up, contradicting some media reports. InvestingPro data reveals the company maintains a GOOD financial health score, with particularly strong profitability metrics.

The firm also noted positive remarks regarding trade credit during the call. Despite these encouraging signs, Home Depot’s shares did not maintain their peak levels at close, with concerns emerging about elevated operating expenses in the first quarter and the potential for a reduced boost from tariffs in upcoming quarters.

Mizuho remains optimistic about Home Depot’s strategic positioning and believes the company is nearing a turning point in the sector. In light of the recent developments and ongoing trends, Mizuho has revised its estimates and set a new price target for Home Depot shares.

In other recent news, Home Depot reported its Q1 2025 earnings with a revenue of $39.9 billion, surpassing expectations of $39.25 billion. However, the company’s earnings per share (EPS) slightly missed projections, coming in at $3.56 compared to the expected $3.59. Despite these mixed results, Home Depot reaffirmed its annual guidance for 2025, anticipating a total sales growth of approximately 2.8%. Telsey Advisory Group maintained its Outperform rating on Home Depot with a price target of $455, highlighting the company’s resilience amidst challenges. Meanwhile, DA Davidson adjusted its price target for Home Depot to $450 from $470, retaining a Buy rating, while KeyBanc Capital Markets maintained a Sector Weight rating. Analysts noted that Home Depot’s professional customer segment outperformed the do-it-yourself category, with big-ticket sales seeing a modest increase. Home Depot continues to emphasize supply chain diversification and innovation, which positions it well in the competitive market.

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