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Investing.com - Mizuho (NYSE:MFG) on Thursday upgraded Brixmor Property (NYSE:BRX) from Neutral to Outperform and established a price target of $29.00. The retail property owner, currently trading at $25.54, has demonstrated strong financial health with an overall "GOOD" rating according to InvestingPro metrics.
The upgrade reflects Mizuho’s positive outlook on Brixmor’s defensive tenancy and robust growth profile, which stems from the company’s low rent basis, high spreads, and earnings visibility from its SNO pipeline. The company has maintained a strong dividend profile, having raised its dividend for 4 consecutive years, with a current yield of 4.5%.
Mizuho believes Brixmor’s guidance contains ample "cushion" related to tenant credit risk, suggesting potential upside to 2025 estimates and guidance. The firm views near-term bankruptcies as an opportunity for Brixmor to re-lease properties at wide spreads. With a healthy gross profit margin of 75.2% and strong revenue growth of 3.87% over the last twelve months, InvestingPro analysis reveals additional insights available in the comprehensive Pro Research Report.
Despite Brixmor stock outperforming peers by approximately 300 basis points year-to-date, Mizuho notes it still trades at one of the lowest multiples in the subsector despite its leading growth profile.
Mizuho also sees potential for growth acceleration into 2026 for the retail property owner, contributing to the more bullish stance on the stock.
In other recent news, Brixmor Property Group reported its Q1 2025 earnings, meeting analyst expectations with an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.23 and slightly surpassing revenue forecasts at $337.51 million. The company maintained a strong occupancy rate of 94.1% and achieved a same property net operating income (NOI) growth of 2.8%. Analysts from UBS have shown optimism towards Brixmor, with UBS analyst Michael Goldsmith initiating coverage with a Buy rating and a price target of $29.00. Goldsmith noted Brixmor’s strong Signed Not Opened (SNO) pipeline, which exceeds the average of its peers, and highlighted the company’s robust redevelopment pipeline, expected to generate returns exceeding 10%.
Brixmor’s redevelopment efforts include 37 ongoing projects with a total investment of $391 million. The company reaffirmed its guidance for same property NOI growth between 3.5% and 4.5% for the year, with projected funds from operations (FFO) between $2.19 and $2.24. Goldsmith’s forecast for Brixmor’s FFO per share stands at $2.36 for 2026 and $2.48 for 2027, slightly above consensus estimates. The analyst also pointed out that Brixmor’s shares are trading at a 15% discount to its Shopping Center peers, suggesting potential for valuation upside. Despite some tenant disruptions, Brixmor remains confident in its leasing activity and strategic positioning in the retail market.
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