Morgan Stanley cuts Taylor Wimpey stock target to GBP1.20

Published 06/05/2025, 16:34
Morgan Stanley cuts Taylor Wimpey stock target to GBP1.20

On Tuesday, Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) analyst Peter Ajose-Adeogun updated the firm’s stance on Taylor Wimpey (LON:TW) Plc (TW/:LN) (OTC:TWODF), assigning an Equalweight rating while reducing the price target to GBP1.20 from the previous GBP1.25. Ajose-Adeogun’s assessment comes at a time when Taylor Wimpey’s peers are projecting more optimistic ’go-forward margins,’ but the company itself is tempering expectations. The analyst pointed out that Taylor Wimpey’s specific challenges stem from its significant presence in the South East of England and London, areas that are experiencing different market dynamics compared to the broader UK market.

Ajose-Adeogun noted that while housebuilding is typically widespread geographically, and thus regional disparities are often less pronounced, current conditions suggest that there will be notable regional variations. These variations are especially relevant in areas where buyers are grappling with more challenging conditions due to stretched affordability, and where house price inflation is not keeping pace with the rest of the UK.

The analyst emphasized that for Taylor Wimpey, the sluggish growth in house prices in its key markets is unlikely to compensate for the rising costs of construction. This imbalance could lead to margin pressures for the company in 2025. Ajose-Adeogun’s revised price target reflects these concerns and anticipates the potential impact on Taylor Wimpey’s financial performance.

The outlook for Taylor Wimpey is shaped by a complex set of factors, including geographic exposure and market-specific trends. As buyers in the South East of England and London face steeper hurdles, the company’s guidance suggests a cautious approach to the evolving housing market landscape.

In summary, Morgan Stanley’s updated coverage on Taylor Wimpey underlines the potential risks posed by regional market conditions and cost inflation. The Equalweight rating and adjusted price target signal a measured view of the company’s prospects amid a challenging economic environment.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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