Murphy Oil stock price target cut to $25 at JPMorgan

Published 12/05/2025, 11:10
Murphy Oil stock price target cut to $25 at JPMorgan

On Monday, JPMorgan analysts adjusted their outlook on Murphy Oil Corp . (NYSE:MUR), lowering the company’s price target from $27.00 to $25.00, while maintaining a Neutral rating on the stock. This follows a broader trend, with InvestingPro data showing 11 analysts revising earnings downward for the upcoming period. Currently trading at $21.86, Murphy Oil appears undervalued according to InvestingPro’s Fair Value analysis. The revision follows a broader industry observation that U.S. shale output may be reaching a peak, particularly in scenarios where oil prices fall below $70 per barrel. This change in the shale landscape could potentially benefit Murphy Oil in the long run as the company pivots towards expanding its resources.

Murphy Oil’s CEO, Roger W. Jenkins, recently highlighted the company’s offshore exploration strategy, which is showing promising results. With an EBITDA of $1.52 billion and a healthy gross profit margin of 75%, the company maintains strong operational efficiency. The firm has made significant discoveries, including a potential world-class shallow water oil find at the Hai Su Vang well and another at the Lac Da Hang (Pink Camel) well. InvestingPro subscribers can access detailed financial health scores and 8 additional exclusive ProTips about Murphy Oil’s performance. The latter encountered 106 feet of oil pay in a deeper reservoir and is conveniently located for potential tieback to the nearby LDV field.

Despite these successes, Murphy Oil has faced challenges in field execution, leading to lowered full-year volume expectations due to project delays in the Gulf of Mexico. Nevertheless, the company remains focused on its exploration and development plans, with intentions to start development drilling at the LDV field in the second quarter of 2025 and to appraise the Hai Su Vang well in the third quarter of the same year.

In addition to its endeavors in the Gulf of Mexico, Murphy Oil is also advancing its exploration efforts in Côte d’Ivoire. A three-well exploration program is scheduled to commence in late 2025, beginning with the Civette well on Block 502. This exploration is strategically positioned near recent successful industry drilling activities, potentially opening more opportunities for the company’s resource expansion. Notably, Murphy Oil has maintained dividend payments for 55 consecutive years, with a current dividend yield of 5.95%. For comprehensive analysis of Murphy Oil’s financial health and future prospects, access the detailed Pro Research Report available on InvestingPro, part of their coverage of over 1,400 US equities.

In other recent news, Murphy Oil Corporation reported its Q1 2025 earnings, exceeding earnings per share (EPS) expectations with a reported $0.56 against a forecast of $0.48. However, the company’s revenue slightly missed projections, coming in at $672.73 million compared to the anticipated $676.24 million. Murphy Oil also announced significant exploration successes in Vietnam, highlighting its commitment to expanding its multi-basin portfolio. The company acquired the Pioneer floating production storage and offloading vessel for a $104 million net purchase price, a move expected to reduce annual net operating expenses by approximately $50 million. Analyst firms have taken note of Murphy Oil’s operational performance, with some highlighting the company’s strategic direction and liquidity to support investments. Murphy Oil’s CEO, Eric Hambly, emphasized the company’s exploration strategy and its commitment to shareholder returns. Additionally, Murphy Oil maintains its capital expenditure plan for 2025, with potential adjustments if oil prices remain below $55 per barrel.

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