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On Tuesday, Goldman Sachs initiated coverage of Nari Tech (600406:CH), a leading provider of power grid solutions in China, with a Buy rating and a price target of RMB29.00.
The new coverage by the investment bank's analysts highlights the stock's potential for a 26% upside, following a 25% correction in its share price over the past three months.
This performance contrasted with the CSI300 index's 5% decline and was weaker compared to other power equipment stocks that have recently benefited from power shortages in the US and EU.
Goldman Sachs' positive outlook for Nari Tech is based on expectations of robust investment in China's power grid.
The State Grid has forecasted an investment of RMB690 billion in 2025, a 13% year-over-year increase and above the annual target of RMB650 billion. This investment is part of continued fiscal support for the sector.
The analysts said "positive on Nari Tech as the best play in scale and scope as China's dominant secondary equipment supplier to benefit from China's smart grid needs, which is on the cusp of a transformative shift after we reached the critical inflection point of 15% contribution from solar and wind in China's electricity mix, growing challenges of integrating intermittent and volatile renewable energy sources, and possible tailwind from rising AI power demand."
Goldman Sachs projects that Nari Tech will achieve a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10% in revenue and 11% in net profit from 2024 to 2030.
This forecast outpaces the expected 8% CAGR in China's grid investment, underscoring the company's advantageous position in the smart grid investment landscape.
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