Needham cuts Bitdeer stock target to $18, maintains Buy rating

Published 26/02/2025, 14:31
Updated 26/02/2025, 14:32
Needham cuts Bitdeer stock target to $18, maintains Buy rating

On Wednesday, Needham analysts adjusted their outlook on Bitdeer Technologies Group (NASDAQ:BTDR), reducing the price target to $18.00 from the previous $22.00, while still maintaining a Buy rating on the stock. The company’s shares, currently trading at $9.26, have declined nearly 38% in the past week, with InvestingPro data showing the stock is now in oversold territory.

The revision follows Bitdeer’s Q4’24 financial results, which aligned with Needham’s estimates, including revenues of $349.78 million and adjusted EBITDA. Despite the company’s quarterly performance meeting expectations, with a gross profit margin of 18.98%, the stock experienced a sharp decline after the earnings announcement. Analysts at Needham have outlined several factors they believe contributed to the sell-off, suggesting that some of the market reaction may have been excessive. InvestingPro analysis reveals the company maintains strong liquidity, with a current ratio of 14.58, though it’s currently burning through cash rapidly.

Bitdeer’s machine sales are reportedly progressing well and are expected to meet the firm’s 2025 revenue projections of $175 million. However, additional details on the company’s High-Performance Computing (HPC) segment were sparse, with the only significant update being Bitdeer’s ongoing efforts to secure a partner for developing sites in Ohio. Needham highlighted the urgency for miners to capitalize on their time-to-power advantage.

The lowered price target reflects adjustments for anticipated lower revenue, attributed to declining bitcoin prices, and a downward revision in adjusted EBITDA, primarily due to higher research and development expenses than initially forecasted. Notably, a portion of the R&D costs expected in Q1’25 is considered to be a one-time expense.

Needham’s stance remains optimistic about Bitdeer’s long-term prospects, as evidenced by the continuation of the Buy rating despite the reduced price target. The firm’s analysis indicates a belief in Bitdeer’s strategic moves and potential for growth, even as the company navigates the challenges of fluctuating cryptocurrency prices and investment in R&D.

In other recent news, Bitdeer Technologies Group reported its fourth-quarter earnings for 2024, revealing a decline in revenue and a significant miss on earnings expectations. The company posted a revenue of $69 million, falling short of the $72.05 million forecast and marking a decrease from $114.8 million in the same quarter last year. Earnings per share came in at -$3.22, well below the expected -$0.1604, contributing to a steep decline in the company’s stock. Despite these results, analysts at H.C. Wainwright and Benchmark maintained a Buy rating on Bitdeer, though they lowered their price targets to $21 and $24, respectively. The adjustments reflect Bitdeer’s strategic focus on developing bitcoin mining ASIC chips and rigs, which has had a notable impact on the company’s financial outcomes. Bitdeer is also expanding its power capacity, with over 2.6 GW now available, including a recent acquisition of a 101 MW gas-fired power plant in Alberta, Canada. The company plans to increase its self-mining hash rate significantly by the end of 2025, aiming for 40 EH/s. These developments highlight Bitdeer’s commitment to enhancing its position in the competitive bitcoin mining industry.

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