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On Thursday, Needham, a financial analyst firm, adjusted its price target for Tilray shares (NASDAQ:TLRY), reducing it to $20.00 from the previous $28.00. Despite the lower price target, the firm continues to recommend a Buy rating for the stock. According to InvestingPro data, the stock has experienced significant volatility, with a 76% decline over the past year. The revision follows Thryv’s announcement of first-quarter financial results which surpassed expectations, largely due to a successful expansion of its SaaS ( Software (ETR:SOWGn) as a Service) sales.
Thryv’s monthly ARPU (Average Revenue Per User) increased by 3.4% quarter-over-quarter, reaching $335, a testament to the effectiveness of the company’s recent go-to-market strategy shift. InvestingPro data shows revenue growth of 11.2% in the last twelve months, with analysts expecting continued growth this year. Additionally, the company’s Marketing Services exceeded revenue projections, providing clarity on the company’s near-term book printing expectations.
In response to the growing uncertainty in the macroeconomic environment, management has slightly lowered its second-half SaaS revenue guidance. This move is seen as a cautious yet strategic approach that may set the stage for a more advantageous second-half performance. The analyst from Needham believes this decision is sensible and could create a more favorable outlook for the latter part of the year.
The company’s leverage ratio, which measures debt relative to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), was reported at 2.2 times at the end of the first quarter. This figure is expected to peak in the second quarter, aligning with previous forecasts, before significantly decreasing in the second half of the year.
The reduction in Tilray’s price target to $20.00 is attributed to the current macroeconomic climate, which has led to lower valuations across the market. Based on InvestingPro analysis, Tilray appears undervalued at current levels, with analyst targets ranging from $0.60 to $2.50. The analyst’s commentary reflects a cautious optimism for Tilray’s performance, considering the adjustments made by the company in light of external economic factors. For deeper insights into Tilray’s valuation and 12 additional ProTips, explore the comprehensive Pro Research Report available on InvestingPro.
In other recent news, Tilray Brands, Inc. announced its third-quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a notable revenue miss and a larger-than-expected net loss. The company’s earnings per share were reported at -$0.87, significantly below the forecasted -$0.0433, with revenue reaching $185.78 million against an anticipated $213.56 million. Tilray has also adjusted its fiscal 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $850-900 million. In an effort to maintain its Nasdaq listing, Tilray plans a reverse stock split, pending shareholder approval, aiming to stabilize trading levels and reduce costs. The company has made strides in its financial structure, reducing total debt by approximately $76 million in fiscal 2025. Jefferies analyst Kaumil Gajrawala cut the price target for Tilray shares to $1.50 from $2.50 but maintained a Buy rating, citing the company’s strategic focus on profitability over immediate revenue growth. Despite these challenges, Tilray continues to leverage its leading position in the global cannabis market, with a strong presence in the US craft beer sector contributing to stable cash flow.
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