Oracle stock holds Perform rating after F3Q results

Published 11/03/2025, 13:26
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On Tuesday, Oracle Corporation (NYSE:ORCL), a $416 billion technology giant with a "GOOD" InvestingPro Financial Health score, maintained its Perform rating from Oppenheimer, following the announcement of its fiscal third-quarter results for 2025. The company reported significant growth in bookings, with Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) and Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) growing 51% and 63% year-over-year in constant currency, respectively. This performance, building on the company’s 6.4% revenue growth over the last twelve months, underpins Oracle’s optimistic revenue growth outlook for fiscal years 2026 and 2027.

Oracle’s management has revised its revenue growth forecast upward for FY27, signaling confidence in the company’s growth trajectory. However, the results were not without challenges. Adverse foreign exchange fluctuations impacted the reported results and the guidance for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2025. Additionally, the company anticipates a compression in operating margins over the next two fiscal years, particularly in FY26, to support the robust growth of OCI. This expected margin compression is more pronounced than what was previously forecasted by the street. According to InvestingPro analysis, Oracle currently trades at a P/E ratio of 36.37, suggesting a premium valuation that may need to be monitored given the expected margin pressure.

The compression in operating margins is attributed to the company’s heavy investment cycle aimed at bolstering OCI’s growth. This strategic decision is set to result in a lower operating margin profile than in FY25. Despite the positive growth indicators, the Perform rating by Oppenheimer is maintained based on Oracle’s current valuation.

In summary, Oracle’s third fiscal quarter of 2025 demonstrated strong business momentum and provided investors with an encouraging outlook for top-line growth acceleration. The positive guidance update for FY27 adds to the optimism surrounding Oracle’s future performance. Nevertheless, the investment in OCI growth and the subsequent impact on operating margins are factors that investors will continue to monitor as the company progresses through its investment cycle.

In other recent news, Oracle Corporation reported mixed financial results, with its third-quarter fiscal year 2024 earnings missing revenue expectations, as highlighted by DA Davidson. Despite this, Oracle’s management projects a 15% revenue increase for the upcoming fiscal year, supported by plans to double data center capacity and new Stargate contracts. Evercore ISI noted a reduction in Oracle’s price target to $185 from $200, citing slightly below-expectation revenue and earnings per share, although the company exceeded projected Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) with $130 billion. KeyBanc Capital Markets maintained an Overweight rating with a $200 price target, emphasizing Oracle’s significant RPO growth and raised growth expectations for future fiscal years.

BofA Securities adjusted Oracle’s price target to $175 from $195, maintaining a Neutral rating and highlighting uncertainties in revenue reacceleration due to dependencies on database migration deals and GPU rentals. JMP Securities continued its Market Underperform rating and $205 price target, despite Oracle’s strongest bookings quarter and a notable 62% year-over-year RPO increase. Oracle’s revenue for the quarter was $14.13 billion, which was below the consensus forecast, and its non-GAAP earnings per share were slightly below estimates. Analysts are closely watching Oracle’s performance as it navigates the competitive tech landscape, with particular attention to its cloud services and infrastructure growth.

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