Piper Sandler highlights exchange firms’ outlook at FIA Boca

Published 14/03/2025, 15:58
Piper Sandler highlights exchange firms’ outlook at FIA Boca

On Friday, Piper Sandler provided a recap of the 2025 Futures Industry Association (FIA) conference, summarizing the performance and prospects of several global exchange and trading companies. Patrick Moley, an analyst at Piper Sandler, shared insights from the conference, which included meetings with management from 15 companies, featuring 10 CEOs. For investors seeking deeper insights into these companies’ valuations and financial health metrics, InvestingPro offers comprehensive analysis through its Pro Research Reports, covering 1,400+ top US stocks.

The analyst conveyed a positive sentiment on the sector, noting that despite macroeconomic uncertainty impacting decision-making at some firms, the demand and growth prospects remained strong. For Nasdaq (NASDAQ:NDAQ), the delay in FinTech customer decisions, particularly regarding Calypso, was mentioned, but the company’s pipeline is still expanding. Nasdaq also clarified earlier comments from its CFO about potential large-scale mergers and acquisitions.

CME Group (NASDAQ:CME) was reported to have expectations of continuing strong volume trends and dismissed the idea of acquiring either CBOE Global Markets (BATS:CBOE) or MarketAxess Holdings (NASDAQ:MKTX). CBOE is experiencing increased index option uptake from Robinhood (NASDAQ:HOOD) users, though there is still a significant opportunity to engage smaller wallet traders. The possibility of a data-related acquisition that could have a substantial impact was also noted.

MarketAxess is performing well in the current volatile market, with the coming months seen as critical for assessing future success in the credit sector. Tradeweb Markets (NASDAQ:TW) is thriving in rates and credit business, with a growing opportunity in portfolio trading as market makers focus more on fixed income.

Virtu Financial (NASDAQ:VIRT) is aiming for a baseline of $6 million in ANTI, with significant upside from growth opportunities. Meanwhile, Miax Exchange Group (MRX) is seeing its transaction-oriented businesses excel, driven by client wins and market share growth. The company’s strong performance is reflected in its impressive 25.22% revenue growth and healthy 67.67% gross profit margin. According to InvestingPro data, MRX currently trades near its Fair Value, with analysts maintaining a bullish outlook and a consensus recommendation of 1.75 (Strong Buy).

Robinhood’s futures trading and web platform uptake in the U.S. are strong, and the company’s advisory plans are starting to take shape. BGC Partners (NASDAQ:BGC) management remains bullish, especially regarding the launch of FMX and the expected benefits to its core brokerage business from ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty. For detailed financial analysis and valuation metrics of these and other financial sector companies, investors can access comprehensive reports and real-time data through InvestingPro’s extensive financial sector coverage.

In other recent news, Marex Group PLC has reported notable developments that investors may find relevant. The company recently announced its fourth-quarter results for 2024, prompting Jefferies to raise its price target from $38.00 to $42.00, while maintaining a Buy rating. Jefferies analyst Daniel Fannon has kept the first-quarter 2025 earnings per share (EPS) estimate steady at $0.83 and revised the full-year 2025 EPS forecast upward to $3.11. Meanwhile, HSBC downgraded Marex’s stock rating from Buy to Hold, despite increasing the price target to $36.00. This reflects a more cautious outlook on further stock re-rating potential.

In contrast, Keefe, Bruyette & Woods reiterated an Outperform rating with a $36.00 price target, citing Marex’s strong revenue performance, which exceeded expectations by $0.39. Citi analyst Chris Allen also raised the price target to $45.00, maintaining a Buy rating, attributing the adjustment to Marex’s market share gains and growth in client balances. Furthermore, Marex’s upcoming acquisitions of Aarna Capital and Hamilton Court are expected to close soon, contributing to the company’s growth strategy. These acquisitions are anticipated to add approximately 10% to Marex’s total profit after completion in the first quarter of 2025.

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