Piper Sandler lifts Samsara stock price target to $53 on growth outlook

Published 14/05/2025, 13:26
Piper Sandler lifts Samsara stock price target to $53 on growth outlook

On Wednesday, Piper Sandler analyst James Fish increased the price target for Samsara Inc (NYSE:IOT) shares to $53.00, up from the previous $44.00, while maintaining an Overweight rating on the company’s stock. The revision follows an analysis of high-correlation data points through April, which suggests potential upside in Samsara’s quarterly performance. According to InvestingPro data, nine analysts have recently revised their earnings estimates upward, with price targets ranging from $36.80 to $60.00. While the stock appears overvalued based on InvestingPro’s Fair Value analysis, it has demonstrated strong momentum with an 11.13% return in the past week.

Fish noted that the tracked metrics indicate a possible revenue increase of at least $365 million, or a 4% upside for the current quarter. The most strongly correlated metric, App Downloads, suggests an even more optimistic 5% increase. This growth trajectory aligns with the company’s impressive 33.26% year-over-year revenue growth and robust 76.2% gross profit margins reported in recent quarters. Despite a mix of macroeconomic indicators, with declines in heavy-duty truck sales and the Cass Shipment Index at the beginning of the year, other factors such as employment figures, Samsara’s job postings, and tonnage are showing positive trends.

The analyst also pointed out that while there is considerable investor focus on the impact of shipments on Samsara’s business, this correlation is not as strong as others and is more of an indirect effect. Based on the trends observed in the first fiscal quarter and the typical guidance cadence, Fish anticipates that Samsara is likely to raise its guidance to approximately 25% year-over-year growth, translating to more than $1.55 billion, and set the second fiscal quarter guidance above the Street’s expectations at over $370 million.

Looking ahead, the Beyond user-conference scheduled for June is expected to highlight safety, workflows, and the application of artificial intelligence for data-driven insights. With these positive indicators, Fish reaffirmed the Overweight rating and top-pick status for Samsara Inc, alongside the raised price target.

In other recent news, Samsara Inc. reported robust financial results, with a 36% adjusted growth in the fourth quarter and a revenue beat of approximately 3.5%, according to TD Cowen. The company’s guidance for fiscal year 2026 anticipates a 23-24% growth, aligning with market expectations. RBC Capital Markets noted a 33% increase in Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) and a 25% rise in revenue, with positive prospects for continued growth. Meanwhile, Piper Sandler upgraded Samsara’s stock rating to Overweight, setting a price target of $50, citing the company’s potential to maintain over 20% growth and its increasing market share in fleet management. Despite a price target reduction to $51 by TD Cowen, the firm reiterated a Buy rating, highlighting the company’s strategic customer engagements as key growth drivers. Additionally, Samsara has formed a strategic partnership with Hyundai (OTC:HYMTF) Translead to enhance trailer safety, integrating its technology for improved operational efficiency. Piper Sandler also maintained an Overweight rating with a $44 price target, emphasizing Samsara’s favorable setup for the first quarter of 2025. RBC Capital reduced its price target to $54 while maintaining an Outperform rating, citing strong enterprise sector performance and product improvements. These developments reflect Samsara’s ongoing efforts to strengthen its market position and growth trajectory.

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