Raymond James raises Dollar General stock price target to $125

Published 04/06/2025, 11:52
Raymond James raises Dollar General stock price target to $125

On Wednesday, Raymond (NSE:RYMD) James analysts raised their price target on Dollar General (NYSE:DG) stock to $125 from $100, while maintaining an Outperform rating. The stock, currently trading at $112.57 with a market capitalization of $24.8 billion, has shown remarkable momentum with a 50.6% gain year-to-date. This adjustment follows the company’s fiscal first-quarter 2025 results, which surpassed expectations in several key areas including comparable sales, gross margin, and earnings per share. According to InvestingPro analysis, the stock’s RSI indicates overbought territory, suggesting investors should monitor entry points carefully.

According to the analysts, Dollar General’s recent performance marks the second consecutive quarter of operational improvement and effective execution of strategic initiatives. The company’s "back-to-basics" strategy is reportedly gaining traction, as evidenced by improvements in shrinkage, inventory management, and employee turnover. With revenue growth of 4.77% and a healthy current ratio of 1.23, the company’s operational metrics support this positive trajectory. Discover more insights about Dollar General’s financial health and growth potential with a comprehensive Pro Research Report, available exclusively on InvestingPro.

The analysts noted that customer trade-in rates are at their highest in four years, contributing positively to comparable sales. Additionally, store traffic turned positive year-over-year in May, further indicating a positive trend in customer engagement.

Despite ongoing challenges such as the tariff environment and pressure on selling, general, and administrative expenses, Raymond James sees potential for further margin expansion. The firm believes that Dollar General’s efforts are laying the groundwork for sustainable earnings growth.

The analysts emphasized that while Dollar General still faces hurdles in its turnaround efforts, the market may be underestimating the company’s margin expansion opportunities.

In other recent news, Dollar General reported better-than-expected earnings and revenue results for the first quarter, leading to a positive reassessment by several major analysts. Goldman Sachs raised its price target for Dollar General to $115, maintaining a Buy rating, and expressed confidence in the company’s updated guidance. Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) also increased its price target to $115 while keeping an Equalweight rating, noting improvements in sales and margin execution. Citi raised its price target to $112 from $101, maintaining a Neutral rating, and highlighted Dollar General’s strong comparable sales and gross margins. KeyBanc maintained a Sector Weight rating after the company’s first-quarter results exceeded expectations, citing strategic initiatives and increased tradedown activity as positive factors. Oppenheimer upgraded Dollar General to an outperform rating with a new price target of $130, citing confidence in management and the company’s resilience during economic downturns. Dollar General’s expansion of its digital presence, including plans for same-day delivery services at 10,000 locations, is also part of its growth strategy. These developments reflect a generally optimistic outlook on Dollar General’s performance and future prospects.

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