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On Wednesday, RBC Capital Markets made an adjustment to its price target for Jack in the Box (NASDAQ:JACK) stock, reducing it to $45 from the previous $55, while maintaining an Outperform rating on the shares. Currently trading at $39.18, the stock has experienced a significant decline of over 50% in the past year. The fast-food chain’s first-quarter earnings for 2025 were noted to be better than what investors had feared. According to InvestingPro data, analysts expect the company to return to profitability this year. RBC Capital’s analysis acknowledged that despite the challenging macroeconomic environment, Jack in the Box’s performance stood out, particularly as the company reaffirmed its full-year guidance.
The earnings per share (EPS) for Jack in the Box exceeded consensus expectations, partly due to some one-time cost savings. Additionally, the company announced the signing of a new beverage partner contract. RBC Capital highlighted management’s commitment to improving capital allocation as a positive factor. However, the report also pointed out that the guidance assumes an improvement in the second half of the year, reflecting the current economic uncertainties.
In light of these factors, RBC Capital revised its estimates and price target for Jack in the Box, setting the new target at $45. The firm’s decision to maintain an Outperform rating is based on the stock’s valuation, which is approximately 7 times the midpoint of the company’s 2025 guidance. RBC Capital noted that the stock’s challenges seem to be well understood by the market, suggesting a potential upside if the company can navigate the tough macro conditions as projected. InvestingPro analysis indicates the stock is currently undervalued, with 14 additional exclusive insights available to subscribers, including detailed financial health scores and comprehensive valuation metrics.
In other recent news, Jack in the Box reported its first-quarter earnings for fiscal year 2024, showing an earnings per share (EPS) of $1.92, surpassing the forecast of $1.73. The company’s revenue for the quarter was $469.4 million, slightly below the anticipated $471.76 million. Despite these results, Jack in the Box maintained its annual guidance for same-store sales and operating EPS. Truist Securities adjusted its outlook on Jack in the Box stock, lowering the price target to $51.00 from $57.00, but maintained a Buy rating, expressing confidence in the company’s potential for growth. KeyBanc Capital Markets kept a Sector Weight rating on the stock, noting that while the company’s first-quarter earnings exceeded expectations, there are anticipated negative trends for the second quarter due to macroeconomic challenges. Meanwhile, Citi analysts revised their price target for the stock to $41.00 from $47.00, maintaining a Neutral rating, and highlighted ongoing challenges at Del Taco as a concern. The unexpected resignation of CEO Darrin Harris has introduced uncertainty, but there is potential for strategic reassessment under new leadership.
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