RBC optimistic on Safran stock despite low CMD expectations, cites favorable setup

On Tuesday, RBC Capital maintained its positive stance on Safran SA (OTC:SAFRY) (SAF:FP) (OTC: SAFRF) stock, reiterating an Outperform rating and a price target of EUR240.00. The firm anticipates that the upcoming Capital Markets Day, scheduled for Thursday, December 5, 2024, could serve as a catalyst for the stock, despite low expectations from the market.

According to RBC Capital, the aerospace and defense company's current outlook appears promising, with several factors that could drive its performance.

Safran (EPA:SAF)'s Capital Markets Day is seen as a platform where the company might address its strategic plans and financial objectives. RBC Capital suggests that market expectations are tempered due to a history of mixed results from previous events, conservative assumptions, and limited potential for announcing increased capital returns. Nevertheless, the firm maintains confidence in the company's near- and mid-term prospects.

The analyst from RBC Capital points to Safran's strengths, which include the continued success of its legacy CFM56 engines and the wide-body aircraft aftermarket. Additionally, potential improvements in the company's portfolio, better execution, and profitability of the Leap engine program, robust defense sales, and the possibility of capital returns are highlighted as positive drivers for Safran's stock performance.

RBC Capital has also made minor adjustments to its estimates for Safran, while keeping the price target unchanged at EUR240.00. This target is based on a multiple of 22.6 times, which underscores the firm's conviction in the value and growth prospects of Safran. With the Capital Markets Day approaching, investors will be looking for signs that could reinforce RBC Capital's optimistic outlook on the company.

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