Rentokil stock target cut to GBP4.65 by Deutsche Bank

Published 07/03/2025, 13:14
Rentokil stock target cut to GBP4.65 by Deutsche Bank

On Friday, Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn)’s analysts made a revision to Rentokil Initial Plc’s (LON:RTO:LN) (NYSE: RTO) stock, adjusting the price target downwards to GBP4.65 from GBP4.85, while still maintaining a Buy rating on the shares. The adjustment follows the company’s recent fiscal year 2024 results and the provided guidance for the first quarter of 2025. The stock, currently trading at $22.65, has experienced significant pressure, falling over 10% in the past week. According to InvestingPro data, the stock’s RSI suggests oversold conditions, with shares trading near their 52-week low of $22.22.

The analysts at Deutsche Bank attribute the negative market reaction to Rentokil’s financial outcomes and future expectations largely to disappointing revenue guidance for the first quarter of 2025 in North America. Despite maintaining profitability with a market capitalization of $10.94 billion and modest revenue growth of 1.13% over the last twelve months, Rentokil management has indicated that lower than anticipated lead generation, along with a combination of operational challenges such as fewer working days, the impact of a polar vortex, and the California wildfires, are likely to constrain the North American Pest Control Services revenue to a level similar to the 1.0% seen in the first quarter of 2024.

Deutsche Bank’s analysis also noted Rentokil’s strategic updates, including the expansion of its post-integration branch footprint, now exceeding 500 locations compared to the previous target of around 400. This was a potential change Deutsche Bank had previously suggested might occur in their recent note titled "What’s bugging the market?" Additionally, Rentokil’s emphasis on branding strategy has been highlighted, with plans to leverage nine regional brands alongside the two main power brands, Terminix and Rentokil.

The company’s decision to revert field sales responsibilities back to branch managers was also mentioned as a sensible move by the analysts. According to Deutsche Bank, these operational adjustments are seen as practical steps that align more closely with the business models of other high-performing companies in the sector.

These changes come as Rentokil seeks to navigate a challenging environment and improve its performance in the North American market. The company’s strategic shifts and the analyst’s maintained Buy rating suggest confidence in Rentokil’s potential for recovery and growth despite the reduced revenue guidance and external factors affecting its North American operations. InvestingPro analysis indicates the stock is currently undervalued, with analysts maintaining positive earnings forecasts for the year ahead. For deeper insights into Rentokil’s valuation and 8 additional exclusive ProTips, consider exploring InvestingPro’s comprehensive analysis tools.

In other recent news, Rentokil Initial announced that its financial results for the full year ending December 31, 2024, met market expectations. The company’s fourth-quarter performance in North America showed an organic revenue growth of 2.3%, supported by a 1.5% increase in North American Pest Control Services, attributed to enhanced marketing efforts. Overall, the group’s organic revenue growth in Q4 2024 reached 3.0%. Rentokil Initial confirmed that its North America Adjusted Operating Margin, Group Adjusted Operating Margin, and Group Adjusted Profit Before Tax and Amortization were in line with previous guidance. The company is progressing with integration efforts in North America, including successful pilot programs for satellite branches and new pay plans for technicians and sales staff. Additionally, Rentokil Initial announced a significant management change, with Brad Paulsen, CEO of North America, set to leave in April 2025. Alain Moffroid, the current Chief Commercial Officer, will step in as Interim North America CEO. Moffroid, who has been with Rentokil Initial since 2013, brings extensive experience in both residential and commercial pest control.

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