Restoration Hardware stock target cut to $220 at TD Cowen

Published 03/04/2025, 15:26
Restoration Hardware stock target cut to $220 at TD Cowen

On Thursday, TD Cowen maintained its Buy rating on Restoration Hardware (NYSE:RH) but significantly reduced the stock’s price target from $510.00 to $220.00. The adjustment follows the company’s fourth-quarter results, which did not meet expectations, and a cautious fiscal year 2025 revenue forecast. According to InvestingPro data, RH’s stock has declined over 36% year-to-date, with current trading levels showing the stock is moderately overvalued based on Fair Value analysis. Max Rakhlenko, an analyst at TD Cowen, cited multiple factors contributing to a challenging stock response, including softer than anticipated fourth-quarter results, rising tariffs, and concerns over free cash flow and liquidity.

Rakhlenko noted that Restoration Hardware’s revenues are still leading in the industry but are decelerating. He pointed out the potential impact on future growth due to a declining wealth effect, particularly with the company’s elevated inventory levels. InvestingPro analysis shows the company maintains a current ratio of 1.43, indicating liquid assets exceed short-term obligations, though its overall financial health score is rated as weak. Despite this, the firm maintains its Buy rating on the stock but has revised the price target downward.

The analyst explained that the current narrative around Restoration Hardware is dominated by bears, considering the various concerns and the noise from the recent earnings report. He suggested that these factors, combined with the declining wealth effect and liquidity questions, may cause the stock to remain range-bound in the near term.

The new price target of $220.00 is based on 14 times TD Cowen’s fiscal year 2026 estimated earnings per share of $16.22. The adjustment also led to the stock being lowered in the firm’s conviction list, now positioned outside the top three. The after-hours price of Restoration Hardware’s stock was around $184.00 when the new price target was announced.

In other recent news, Restoration Hardware reported mixed fourth-quarter earnings and revenue guidance that fell short of expectations. Despite this, Stifel maintained a Buy rating with a $450 price target, citing strong profitability guidance for fiscal year 2025. Conversely, Citi downgraded Restoration Hardware to Neutral and significantly reduced its price target to $200, citing concerns over tariffs and slowing consumer spending. KeyBanc maintained its Sector Weight rating, expressing caution due to unmet financial expectations and the impact of tariffs on consumer behavior. Meanwhile, Guggenheim cut the price target to $300 but retained a Buy rating, highlighting strong fourth-quarter demand despite tariff-related uncertainties. Telsey Advisory Group increased its price target to $280, maintaining an Outperform rating, and noted a stabilization in demand despite negative free cash flow in the fourth quarter. These recent developments reflect a complex landscape for Restoration Hardware, with analysts weighing strong profitability forecasts against external pressures and market uncertainties.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.