Rosenblatt raises Rubrik stock rating to Buy, sets $77 target

Published 12/03/2025, 12:42
Rosenblatt raises Rubrik stock rating to Buy, sets $77 target

On Wednesday, Rosenblatt Securities analyst Blair Abernathy upgraded shares of Rubrik Inc (NYSE:RBRK) from Neutral to Buy, setting a price target of $77.00. The stock, currently trading at $53.82, sits within a 52-week range of $28.34 to $80.00, with a market capitalization of approximately $10 billion. According to InvestingPro data, analyst price targets for the company range from $47 to $90, suggesting significant potential upside. The upgrade comes as Rubrik prepares to report its Q4/FY25 results after the market closes on March 13th. Abernathy anticipates the company’s performance to be in line or slightly above expectations for the quarter, with projected Total (EPA:TTEF) Revenue growth of 33% year-over-year to $232.5 million and Subscription Revenue increasing by 40% year-over-year. This growth trajectory aligns with the company’s historical performance, as InvestingPro data shows a robust revenue growth rate of 33.22% over the last twelve months, supported by an impressive gross profit margin of 69.22%.

Rubrik’s Subscription Revenue is expected to make up 94% of its Total Revenue for FY25, consistent with forecasts. This is a significant increase from the 77% of Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) attributed to cloud services as of the third quarter. Despite the stock’s decline of approximately 25% since the initiation report on December 16, titled "Delivering Cyber Resilience; Initiating Coverage with Neutral Rating," Abernathy’s confidence in Rubrik’s growth forecasts and strong product position within a growing total addressable market (TAM) supports the upgrade. InvestingPro analysis indicates the company maintains a FAIR financial health score, though it currently trades above its calculated Fair Value. Subscribers can access 8 additional ProTips and comprehensive financial metrics through the Pro Research Report.

The analyst’s unchanged forecast reflects a belief in the company’s continued growth and the value proposition of its offerings. Rubrik has established itself in the market by providing cyber resilience solutions, which has become increasingly important in today’s digital landscape.

The price target of $77.00 implies a positive outlook on the company’s financial health and market potential. This target is set despite recent market trends that have seen Rubrik’s stock price fall. Abernathy’s commentary underscores a strong product offering and market position that could drive future growth and recovery in stock value.

Investors will be closely watching as Rubrik reports its Q4/FY25 results, which will provide further insights into the company’s financial performance and its ability to meet or exceed growth expectations. The upgrade to a Buy rating suggests that Rosenblatt Securities sees a favorable risk-reward scenario for investors considering Rubrik’s shares.

In other recent news, Rubrik Inc has been the focus of several analyst updates and company developments. Piper Sandler adjusted its outlook on Rubrik, increasing the price target to $83 from $72 while maintaining an Overweight rating. This change follows Rubrik’s 10-Q financial report, which prompted a revision of future revenue estimates, particularly for fiscal years 2026-2027. Mizuho (NYSE:MFG) Securities also raised its price target for Rubrik to $82 from $75, reiterating an Outperform rating. This reflects confidence in Rubrik’s strong data management platform and advanced ransomware defenses.

Additionally, Rubrik’s shares experienced a decline after a significant block trade, where 1.16 million shares, representing 1.3% of the company’s float, were traded. The shares were sold at a discount compared to the previous closing price. Despite this, analyst firms like Piper Sandler and Mizuho remain optimistic about Rubrik’s growth prospects, citing its subscription revenue dynamics and cyber resiliency solutions as key strengths. These recent developments highlight ongoing interest and varying perspectives on Rubrik’s future performance.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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