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On Friday, Scotiabank (TSX:BNS) analyst Joe Vandrick increased the price target on N-Able Inc. (NYSE: NABL) to $9.00 from the previous $8.75, while maintaining a Sector Perform rating on the stock. According to InvestingPro data, analyst targets for the $1.48 billion market cap company currently range from $8.50 to $10.00. The adjustment follows N-able’s recent investor day, during which the company provided detailed insights into its strategic plans aimed at accelerating its Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) growth.
N-able, which specializes in providing cloud-based software for managed service providers, has identified a significant opportunity in the cybersecurity market. The company, which boasts impressive gross profit margins of 83.45% and achieved 10.49% revenue growth over the last twelve months, plans to capitalize on this by leveraging its channel partnerships to enhance its go-to-market strategy. In addition, management has spotlighted the potential within its existing customer base, which it refers to as "white space," for further expansion.
During the investor day, N-able’s management set an ambitious medium-term goal of achieving an ARR exceeding $750 million by 2028. This target reflects the company’s confidence in its growth trajectory and the effectiveness of its strategic initiatives. While the stock has faced challenges with a 37.33% decline over the past six months, InvestingPro analysis suggests the stock is currently undervalued based on its Fair Value model. Vandrick noted that N-able’s management appears to be making the right strategic moves to reach these goals.
However, the analyst indicated that a more positive stance on N-able’s shares would require evidence of sustained top-line growth. Vandrick stated, "The medium term target calling for ARR of $750M+ by 2028 is no doubt impressive, and strategically we think management is pulling all the right levers. But to get more positive on shares we look for signs in our checks and in results of an ability to deliver sustained top-line acceleration."
Investors and market watchers will be keeping a close eye on N-able’s performance indicators and market execution in the coming periods to evaluate the company’s progress toward its stated objectives.
In other recent news, N-able, Inc. announced its fourth-quarter and full-year 2024 financial results, revealing a quarterly earnings per share (EPS) of $0.10, which exceeded analyst estimates of $0.08. The company reported a revenue of $116.5 million for the quarter, slightly surpassing the consensus estimate of $113.71 million. However, N-able’s guidance for the first quarter and full-year 2025 fell short of expectations, with projected revenues of $115-116 million for Q1 2025 and $486.5-492.5 million for the full year, both below market predictions.
Additionally, N-able has initiated a $75 million share repurchase program, indicating confidence in its strategic direction. Analyst firms have adjusted their outlooks on N-able, with Scotiabank lowering its price target to $8.75 from $11.00 while maintaining a Sector Perform rating, and BMO Capital Markets reducing its target to $8.50 from $13.50, also sustaining a Market Perform rating. These revisions reflect concerns about the company’s future revenue and EBITDA projections.
Despite the earnings beat, the market reacted negatively to N-able’s forward-looking guidance, resulting in a significant drop in stock value. The company is focusing on integrating Adlumin, enhancing channel partnerships, and establishing a new development site in India, which are expected to drive future growth. Investors will be closely watching how N-able navigates these developments and whether it can achieve its projected financial targets.
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