Sherwin-Williams stock falls as Goldman Sachs maintains Buy rating despite lowered guidance

Published 22/07/2025, 15:16
Sherwin-Williams stock falls as Goldman Sachs maintains Buy rating despite lowered guidance

Investing.com - Sherwin-Williams (NYSE:SHW) stock faced pressure after the company reported second-quarter earnings below expectations and reduced its full-year guidance, though Goldman Sachs maintained its Buy rating and $420.00 price target on the paint manufacturer. The company, currently valued at $84 billion and trading at a P/E ratio of 32x, appears overvalued according to InvestingPro Fair Value metrics.

The company reported Q2 earnings per share of $3.38, missing the Bloomberg consensus estimate of $3.81, citing elevated one-time fixed costs including approximately $40 million in new building expenses, $59 million in accelerated restructuring actions, and $75 million in non-operating costs. Despite these challenges, InvestingPro data shows Sherwin-Williams has maintained dividend payments for 47 consecutive years, with a current yield of 0.93%.

Sherwin-Williams lowered its full-year EPS guidance from a range of $11.65-$12.05 to $11.20-$11.50, below the consensus estimate of $11.87, representing a 50-cent decline at the midpoint and implying second-half earnings of $5.72.

Goldman Sachs noted that most of the guidance reduction was captured in the second-quarter results, with the firm suggesting investors will debate whether deteriorating conditions will persist or if the company’s cost-cutting measures and price adjustments will enable stronger performance with less revenue. Notably, the company maintains strong profitability with a gross margin of 48.7% and return on equity of 70%. Discover more key metrics and 12 additional ProTips with InvestingPro.

The investment bank observed that Sherwin-Williams shares had traded flat in the five days leading up to earnings and year-to-date, while the Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLB) had gained 8% year-to-date, with expectations for a housing recovery supported by an improving interest rate environment having faltered, impacting volume outlook for architectural coatings.

In other recent news, Sherwin-Williams reported second-quarter earnings that fell short of expectations, with adjusted earnings per share of $3.38, missing Citi’s estimate of $3.80 and the consensus forecast of $3.81. The company attributed this shortfall to earlier-than-anticipated building transition costs and targeted growth investments. In response, Citi maintained a Neutral rating with a $385.00 price target, while Evercore ISI reiterated an Outperform rating with a $400.00 price target, despite lowering its full-year EPS estimate to $11.85. Sherwin-Williams has also declared a quarterly dividend of $0.79 per share, payable on September 5, 2025. Furthermore, the company has adjusted its full-year sales guidance for its Performance Coatings Group, with a downward revision in volume components for both the Performance Coatings Group and Consumer Brands Group, though Performance Coatings Group projections moved upward. Citi has downgraded Sherwin-Williams due to concerns over the U.S. housing market recovery and potential impacts from new tariffs. Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS), however, maintained an Overweight rating with a $385.00 price target despite these challenges. These developments reflect the mixed analyst perspectives and ongoing market challenges facing Sherwin-Williams.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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