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Investing.com - Spotify (NYSE:SPOT), currently valued at $130.45 billion, saw its shares drop 12% following its second-quarter earnings report, while Cantor Fitzgerald maintained its $640 price target and Neutral rating on the stock. According to InvestingPro analysis, the stock appears overvalued at current levels, despite showing strong growth with revenue increasing 17.24% over the last twelve months.
The streaming giant reported second-quarter results with total revenues and operating income falling below Street estimates by 2% and 16% respectively, primarily due to 280 basis points of incremental foreign exchange headwinds and €98 million in social charges. InvestingPro data reveals the company maintains strong financial health with an overall score of "GREAT," holding more cash than debt on its balance sheet.
User metrics showed strength with monthly active users and premium subscribers exceeding Street forecasts by 7 million and 3 million respectively. Gross margin of 31.5% aligned with previous guidance but decreased slightly quarter-over-quarter due to additional investments in video podcasts.
Looking ahead, Spotify provided third-quarter revenue and operating income guidance of €4.2 billion and €485 million, below consensus estimates due to foreign exchange headwinds and flat year-over-year average revenue per user growth on premium subscriptions. The company expects third-quarter gross margin to decline 40 basis points quarter-over-quarter primarily due to regulatory charges.
Cantor Fitzgerald noted that Spotify is integrating recent advancements in large language models and reasoning capabilities across its engineering and product development processes, which should help accelerate the launch of new consumer experiences, though the firm characterized the second quarter as a "mixed print" while acknowledging the company’s "strong" pace of innovation. For deeper insights into Spotify’s valuation and growth prospects, including 15+ additional ProTips and comprehensive financial analysis, visit InvestingPro.
In other recent news, Spotify reported stronger-than-expected subscriber growth in its second quarter, with 8 million net additions, bringing its total to 276 million subscribers, surpassing guidance and estimates by 3 million. Monthly active users also exceeded expectations, increasing by 18 million to 696 million, surpassing forecasts by 7 million. Despite these positive metrics, Spotify’s third-quarter outlook showed a 490 basis point foreign exchange headwind on revenue, as noted by Guggenheim, which lowered its price target to $800 from $840 while maintaining a Buy rating. Rosenblatt also adjusted its price target to $679 from $703, citing concerns over average revenue per user but maintained a Neutral rating. Oppenheimer, however, upgraded Spotify to Outperform, setting a price target of $800, highlighting the company’s growth potential, particularly in monetizing its free tier. KeyBanc raised its price target to $860, acknowledging potential variability in upcoming quarterly results due to foreign exchange rates and other factors. Benchmark also increased its price target to $840, citing a reduced weighted average cost of capital despite lowering its revenue estimate to €4.2 billion from €4.3 billion.
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