Stifel cuts MaxLinear stock price target to $16, maintains Buy

Published 17/04/2025, 14:20
Stifel cuts MaxLinear stock price target to $16, maintains Buy

On Thursday, Stifel analysts revised the price target for MaxLinear shares, traded on (NASDAQ:MXL), to $16 from the previous $26, while reaffirming a Buy rating on the stock. Currently trading at $10.15, the stock has experienced significant volatility, having declined over 50% in the past year. According to InvestingPro data, analyst targets for MXL range from $12 to $27.50. The adjustment comes amidst a backdrop of recent developments within the company’s Broadband and Connectivity segments.

Stifel’s analysis suggests that MaxLinear is on a trajectory for more stable and sustainable quarter-over-quarter growth rates as it exits the 2024 fiscal year and progresses through 2025. While the company currently operates with a moderate debt level and maintains healthy liquidity with a current ratio of 1.77, analysts project a return to profitability in 2025. This outlook is supported by anticipated contributions from key product launches that are expected to gain momentum in 2025 and beyond.

The firm emphasizes several areas within MaxLinear’s Infrastructure division that are poised for expansion. These include new program ramps in Cloud/Data Center applications with PAM4 DSPs, the deployment of 4x4 and 8x8 5G radios and wireless backhaul for 5G Wireless, as well as advancements in Enterprise/Data Center Storage with the Panther III product. With the company’s next earnings report due on April 23, InvestingPro subscribers can access detailed analysis and 8 additional ProTips about MaxLinear’s financial health and market position.

Additionally, MaxLinear is predicted to experience growth through its Connectivity and Broadband applications, which include Ethernet, WiFi 6/6E/7, and fiber PON solutions. These technologies are seen as key drivers for the company’s future performance.

The reevaluation of the price target by Stifel reflects a significant reduction but also signals confidence in the company’s potential for growth, as evidenced by the maintained Buy rating. MaxLinear’s strategic focus on emerging technological trends in connectivity and infrastructure development is expected to underpin its financial performance in the coming years.

In other recent news, MaxLinear reported its fourth-quarter 2024 earnings, revealing a revenue increase to $92.2 million, which exceeded analysts’ expectations. The company also surpassed earnings per share (EPS) forecasts with an EPS of -$0.09, compared to the expected -$0.13. Benchmark analyst David Williams adjusted MaxLinear’s stock price target to $20.00 from $28.00 while maintaining a Buy rating, citing the company’s undervaluation despite industry-wide challenges. Moody’s Ratings downgraded MaxLinear’s corporate family rating to B3 from B1, reflecting weak financial performance and expectations of continued challenges in EBITDA margins and leverage metrics. MaxLinear announced the availability of its new 1.6T PAM4 DSP technology named Rushmore, aimed at enhancing AI/ML applications. In collaboration with Morelink Technology Corporation, MaxLinear’s RF transceivers are being integrated into a new 5G repeater platform to improve network infrastructure. The company is also involved in an ongoing arbitration with Silicon Motion (NASDAQ:SIMO) Technology Corp., which could impact its financial stability depending on the outcome. Despite these challenges, MaxLinear’s diversified product portfolio and recent design wins suggest potential growth opportunities in the AI and broadband sectors.

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